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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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Nasdaq Lags as Markets Take a Breather


In today’s trading session, US stocks reversed gains late in the day, signaling a pause in the record-setting run that has characterized Wall Street during the first quarter of 2024. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Nasdaq Composite: The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which had been on track for a record close, dipped approximately 0.4% as the session concluded. Tech stocks faced headwinds, contributing to the overall decline.

  2. S&P 500: The broader S&P 500 index also retreated, falling nearly 0.3%. Investors closely monitored economic data releases, including durable goods orders and the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index.

  3. Durable Goods Orders: In February, durable goods orders rebounded by 1.4%, driven by increases in transportation equipment and machinery orders. This positive data reflects economic resilience.

  4. Home Price Index: The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index rose 6% in January compared to the previous year, marking the highest annual increase since 2022.

  5. Consumer Confidence: The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index remained relatively stable at 104.7 for March. However, the “Expectations Index,” which gauges consumers’ short-term outlook, dipped to 73.8, potentially signaling a future economic downturn.

  6. Upcoming Event: All eyes are on Friday’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a crucial indicator of inflation. Investors eagerly await insights into “core” PCE growth, which the Federal Reserve closely monitors.

  7. Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.: Former President Donald Trump’s social media company made its Wall Street debut after merging with Digital World Acquisition Corp. Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) surged, finishing the day up 16%.

As the week progresses, keep an eye on economic indicators and corporate developments. The stock market remains dynamic, and investors should stay informed to navigate these fluctuations effectively. 

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