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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Navigating Your Mortgage Renewal in 2024: Tips for Securing the Best Rate


As 2024 unfolds, many Canadians find themselves facing mortgage renewals amid a backdrop of rising interest rates. If you’re among them, fear not! Here’s a concise guide on how to navigate your mortgage renewal and secure the best rate:

  • Renewal Statement: If your mortgage is with a federally regulated financial institution (such as a bank), they are legally required to provide you with a renewal statement at least 21 days before your maturity date (the last day of your existing mortgage term). Most lenders reach out even earlier, typically between four and six months in advance.
  • Interest Rate Offer: As part of this communication, your lender will present you with a new interest rate. Be prepared—the landscape has changed. While sub-3% rates were common in 2019, the average interest rate for a five-year fixed mortgage now stands at 5.29%. Brace yourself for potential payment increases.
  • The Reality: Two years of aggressive interest rate hikes have left their mark. By the end of 2024, the Bank of Canada predicts that 65% of Canadians will experience an increase in their mortgage payments.
  • Average Increases: A Bank of Canada analysis from last year revealed that those renewing in 2024 with a variable-rate mortgage and fixed payments could face an average increase of 24.5%. Meanwhile, those with a fixed-rate mortgage (term less than five years) might see an increase of 23.1%.
  • Existing Lender Advantage: If you’re renewing with your current lender, you won’t need to re-qualify or prove affordability at these higher rates. However, switching lenders requires going through the qualification process.
  • Shop Around: Don’t settle for the first offer. Explore other lenders and compare rates. Negotiate with your current lender—they might offer a discounted interest rate below what’s quoted in your renewal letter.
  • Be Prepared: Gather proof of offers from other financial institutions or mortgage brokers. Having this information on hand will empower you during negotiations.

Mortgage renewals can be daunting, but with the right approach, you can secure a favorable rate. Remember, knowledge is power—so stay informed, compare options, and make the most of your mortgage renewal in 2024.

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