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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...

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Navigating Your Mortgage Renewal in 2024: Tips for Securing the Best Rate


As 2024 unfolds, many Canadians find themselves facing mortgage renewals amid a backdrop of rising interest rates. If you’re among them, fear not! Here’s a concise guide on how to navigate your mortgage renewal and secure the best rate:

  • Renewal Statement: If your mortgage is with a federally regulated financial institution (such as a bank), they are legally required to provide you with a renewal statement at least 21 days before your maturity date (the last day of your existing mortgage term). Most lenders reach out even earlier, typically between four and six months in advance.
  • Interest Rate Offer: As part of this communication, your lender will present you with a new interest rate. Be prepared—the landscape has changed. While sub-3% rates were common in 2019, the average interest rate for a five-year fixed mortgage now stands at 5.29%. Brace yourself for potential payment increases.
  • The Reality: Two years of aggressive interest rate hikes have left their mark. By the end of 2024, the Bank of Canada predicts that 65% of Canadians will experience an increase in their mortgage payments.
  • Average Increases: A Bank of Canada analysis from last year revealed that those renewing in 2024 with a variable-rate mortgage and fixed payments could face an average increase of 24.5%. Meanwhile, those with a fixed-rate mortgage (term less than five years) might see an increase of 23.1%.
  • Existing Lender Advantage: If you’re renewing with your current lender, you won’t need to re-qualify or prove affordability at these higher rates. However, switching lenders requires going through the qualification process.
  • Shop Around: Don’t settle for the first offer. Explore other lenders and compare rates. Negotiate with your current lender—they might offer a discounted interest rate below what’s quoted in your renewal letter.
  • Be Prepared: Gather proof of offers from other financial institutions or mortgage brokers. Having this information on hand will empower you during negotiations.

Mortgage renewals can be daunting, but with the right approach, you can secure a favorable rate. Remember, knowledge is power—so stay informed, compare options, and make the most of your mortgage renewal in 2024.

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