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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Navigating Your Mortgage Renewal in 2024: Tips for Securing the Best Rate


As 2024 unfolds, many Canadians find themselves facing mortgage renewals amid a backdrop of rising interest rates. If you’re among them, fear not! Here’s a concise guide on how to navigate your mortgage renewal and secure the best rate:

  • Renewal Statement: If your mortgage is with a federally regulated financial institution (such as a bank), they are legally required to provide you with a renewal statement at least 21 days before your maturity date (the last day of your existing mortgage term). Most lenders reach out even earlier, typically between four and six months in advance.
  • Interest Rate Offer: As part of this communication, your lender will present you with a new interest rate. Be prepared—the landscape has changed. While sub-3% rates were common in 2019, the average interest rate for a five-year fixed mortgage now stands at 5.29%. Brace yourself for potential payment increases.
  • The Reality: Two years of aggressive interest rate hikes have left their mark. By the end of 2024, the Bank of Canada predicts that 65% of Canadians will experience an increase in their mortgage payments.
  • Average Increases: A Bank of Canada analysis from last year revealed that those renewing in 2024 with a variable-rate mortgage and fixed payments could face an average increase of 24.5%. Meanwhile, those with a fixed-rate mortgage (term less than five years) might see an increase of 23.1%.
  • Existing Lender Advantage: If you’re renewing with your current lender, you won’t need to re-qualify or prove affordability at these higher rates. However, switching lenders requires going through the qualification process.
  • Shop Around: Don’t settle for the first offer. Explore other lenders and compare rates. Negotiate with your current lender—they might offer a discounted interest rate below what’s quoted in your renewal letter.
  • Be Prepared: Gather proof of offers from other financial institutions or mortgage brokers. Having this information on hand will empower you during negotiations.

Mortgage renewals can be daunting, but with the right approach, you can secure a favorable rate. Remember, knowledge is power—so stay informed, compare options, and make the most of your mortgage renewal in 2024.

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