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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Nikki Haley Suspends Presidential Campaign, Paving the Way for Trump-Biden Rematch

 

Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, has made a significant decision that will shape the upcoming U.S. presidential election. On Wednesday, Haley announced her suspension of the presidential campaign, effectively ensuring that Donald Trump will secure the Republican nomination. This development sets the stage for a high-stakes rematch between Trump and Democratic President Joe Biden in November.

Haley’s campaign suspension comes on the heels of Super Tuesday, during which Trump emerged victorious in 14 out of 15 Republican nominating contests. Although Haley outlasted other Republican challengers, she never posed a serious threat to the former president. Trump’s iron grip on the party’s base remained unshaken, despite facing multiple criminal indictments.

Nikki Haley garnered support from deep-pocketed donors who aimed to prevent Trump from securing a third consecutive Republican presidential nomination. Her strong performances in debates—performances that Trump chose to skip—highlighted her appeal to moderate Republicans and independent voters. Notably, she secured almost 40% of the vote in South Carolina and won unaffiliated voters by a wide margin in New Hampshire.

The impending rematch between Trump (77 years old) and Biden (81 years old) marks the first repeat U.S. presidential contest since 1956. However, it’s a contest that few Americans desire. Both candidates face low approval ratings among voters, and the election promises to deepen the existing political polarization in the country.

Biden portrays Trump as an existential threat to democratic principles, while Trump continues to re-litigate his false claims of victory in the 2020 election. As the nation braces for this divisive showdown, the question remains: Can either candidate bridge the gap and unite a fractured electorate?

In the end, Nikki Haley’s decision to step aside clears the path for a Trump-Biden rematch—one that will undoubtedly capture the attention of the entire nation.


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