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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Proposed Tax Change Could Impact Electricity and Gas Bills in Certain Provinces



Electricity Canada has raised concerns about a proposed tax change that could have significant implications for consumers. The alteration, outlined in the government’s bill to implement its fall mini-budget, aims to align Canada’s tax rules with those of other countries that operate across multiple jurisdictions.

The proposed adjustment to the Income Tax Act would bring Canada in line with the United States, the United Kingdom, and Ireland. However, the impact on privately operated utilities—particularly electricity and natural gas companies—could be substantial.

Michael Powell, Vice President of Government Relations at Electricity Canada, warns that this change may force privately operated utilities to increase the rates charged to consumers. The issue arises from the reduction in tax exemptions for debt loads, which would result in higher income tax bills for these companies.

As private utilities often carry higher debt loads to maintain lower rates, the proposed tax change could lead to rate hikes for electricity and natural gas services. Consumers in affected provinces should closely monitor developments and prepare for potential adjustments to their utility bills.

While the goal is to harmonize tax rules internationally, the impact on everyday Canadians remains a critical consideration. As the bill progresses, citizens and policymakers alike will be watching closely to assess its effects on household budgets.


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