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The 4% Rule Just Dropped to 3.9% — But Your RRIF Doesn't Care

  Published August 5, 2026 Morningstar's newest research says retirees can safely start withdrawing 3.9% a year. Ottawa's RRIF rules don't ask what's "safe" — they just tell you how much to take out, whether the math agrees or not. For years, the shortcut retirees leaned on was simple: take out 4% of your portfolio in your first year of retirement, bump it up with inflation every year after, and your savings should last three decades. Morningstar's 2026 State of Retirement Income report just trimmed that number to 3.9%. On its own, that's a small adjustment. On a $500,000 portfolio, it's the difference between withdrawing $19,500 or $20,000 in year one. But for Canadians, the number that actually controls the withdrawal isn't Morningstar's — it's the Canada Revenue Agency's. And once your RRSP becomes a Registered Retirement Income Fund, the CRA's required minimum can blow right past whatever a "safe" withdrawal rate i...

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Stock Market Update: Retailers’ Holiday Numbers Impact Wall Street

 



Wall Street experienced a modest decline today as retailers unveiled their holiday season results. Investors closely monitored these figures, seeking insights into consumer sentiment and economic health. Here are the key highlights:
  1. Retail Earnings: Several major retailers reported their latest quarterly earnings. Among them:

    • Target: The retail giant exceeded expectations with a 58% increase in fourth-quarter profits. Cost-cutting measures and efficient inventory management contributed to this impressive performance. Target’s stock surged by 8.5% before the opening bell today.
    • Costco Wholesale, Gap, and Nordstrom also disclosed their holiday numbers, providing further context on consumer spending trends.
  2. Market Sentiment: Momentum in U.S. stocks has slowed after reaching record highs. Factors influencing market sentiment include:

    • Inflation: Signs of cooling inflation have prompted speculation about potential interest rate cuts.
    • Economic Resilience: Despite recession predictions, the U.S. economy remains resilient.
  3. Upcoming Events: This week holds critical events that could sway the market:

    • Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Testimony: On Wednesday, Powell will testify before a House committee on monetary policy. His remarks may shed light on the Fed’s next move.
    • Jobs Report: Friday’s report will reveal the state of the U.S. job market.
  4. Global Markets: European indices rebounded midday, with Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC 40, and Britain’s FTSE 100 recovering from earlier losses.

As investors await further developments, Wall Street remains cautiously optimistic. Keep an eye on earnings reports and central bank communications for clues about the market’s direction.


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