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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Stock Market Update: Retailers’ Holiday Numbers Impact Wall Street

 



Wall Street experienced a modest decline today as retailers unveiled their holiday season results. Investors closely monitored these figures, seeking insights into consumer sentiment and economic health. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Retail Earnings: Several major retailers reported their latest quarterly earnings. Among them:

    • Target: The retail giant exceeded expectations with a 58% increase in fourth-quarter profits. Cost-cutting measures and efficient inventory management contributed to this impressive performance. Target’s stock surged by 8.5% before the opening bell today.
    • Costco Wholesale, Gap, and Nordstrom also disclosed their holiday numbers, providing further context on consumer spending trends.

  2. Market Sentiment: Momentum in U.S. stocks has slowed after reaching record highs. Factors influencing market sentiment include:

    • Inflation: Signs of cooling inflation have prompted speculation about potential interest rate cuts.
    • Economic Resilience: Despite recession predictions, the U.S. economy remains resilient.

  3. Upcoming Events: This week holds critical events that could sway the market:

    • Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Testimony: On Wednesday, Powell will testify before a House committee on monetary policy. His remarks may shed light on the Fed’s next move.
    • Jobs Report: Friday’s report will reveal the state of the U.S. job market.

  4. Global Markets: European indices rebounded midday, with Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC 40, and Britain’s FTSE 100 recovering from earlier losses.

As investors await further developments, Wall Street remains cautiously optimistic. Keep an eye on earnings reports and central bank communications for clues about the market’s direction.


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