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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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UN Demand for Gaza Ceasefire Sparks Tensions Between U.S. and Israel



In a historic move, the United Nations Security Council has issued its first demand for a ceasefire in Gaza during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan. This resolution, passed by a 14-0 vote, aims to halt the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas. However, it’s the U.S.'s decision to abstain from using its veto power that has ignited the strongest public clash between the allies since the war began.

The UN’s call for a ceasefire was met with mixed reactions. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu swiftly canceled a planned high-level delegation visit to Washington in protest. The resolution not only demands a cessation of hostilities but also calls for the release of all hostages taken captive during Hamas’ surprise attack in southern Israel on October 7. Notably, the resolution does not explicitly link the release of hostages to the ceasefire during Ramadan, which concludes on April 9.

The U.S. decision to abstain from the vote has drawn criticism. Netanyahu accused the U.S. of “retreating” from its “principled position” by allowing the resolution to pass without conditioning the ceasefire on the release of hostages held by Hamas. White House national security spokesman John Kirby clarified that the abstention was due to the resolution’s failure to condemn Hamas.

This clash underscores the delicate balance between diplomacy, humanitarian concerns, and geopolitical alliances. As negotiations continue, the world watches closely, hoping for a peaceful resolution that preserves human lives and averts further suffering and destruction in the region.



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