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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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U.S. and Israeli Defense Chiefs Discuss Strategies Amid Escalating Tensions in Gaza

 

As tensions escalate in the Gaza region, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant held a crucial meeting to address the ongoing crisis. Here are the key points from their discussion:

  1. Cease-Fire and Humanitarian Concerns:

    • The United States recently abstained from using its veto power in a United Nations Security Council vote, which called for an immediate cease-fire in Gaza.
    • Israel canceled a high-level delegation’s visit to Washington in response to the vote.
    • The focus of the meeting was on Israel’s plans to launch an offensive in Gaza’s southernmost city of Rafah, where over a million displaced people have sought shelter.
    • U.S. officials emphasized the need to address the threat posed by Hamas while ensuring civilian safety.

  2. Israel’s Determination and Challenges:

    • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has expressed determination to launch a military operation in Rafah.
    • He believes that Hamas cannot be defeated unless Israel targets four battalions, consisting of thousands of fighters, who are sheltering in the city.
    • The offensive has already resulted in significant casualties and displacement in Gaza.

  3. Lessons from Urban Operations:

    • The discussions included insights from the U.S.'s own experiences in conducting operations in urban environments.
    • Balancing military objectives with civilian safety remains a critical challenge.

  4. U.S. Position and International Pressure:

    • The U.S. abstention at the Security Council vote was a departure from its consistent stance during the conflict.
    • Israel expressed concern that this move might give Hamas hope that international pressure could force a cease-fire without securing the release of hostages.

In this delicate situation, both nations grapple with the complexities of military action, humanitarian needs, and regional stability. The outcome of their discussions will have far-reaching implications for the people of Gaza and the broader Middle East. 

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