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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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U.S. Urges Canada to Collaborate on Curbing Imports of Forced-Labour Goods from China

 

The U.S. State Department’s top human rights official, Uzra Zeya, has called for Canadian cooperation in addressing the importation of goods made from forced Uyghur and Tibetan labor in China. Zeya emphasized the need for joint efforts to combat this pressing issue.

Key Points:

  1. Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act: The U.S. has taken a strong stance against forced labor by passing the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act. This law presumes that any goods from China’s northwestern region of Xinjiang are made using coerced labor of Muslim Uyghurs. Importers must demonstrate that products are not produced under forced servitude, or shipments from the region are blocked.

  2. Canada’s Commitment: Under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), Canada pledged to bar imports manufactured with forced labor. However, as of December 2023, Ottawa had not halted any shipments of such goods entering the country since the agreement took effect in July 2020.

  3. Collaboration and Accountability: Zeya highlighted the importance of collaboration between the U.S. and Canada to prevent forced-labor products from entering North America. She expressed readiness to share experiences and best practices to tackle this issue effectively.

  4. Global Impact: Democratic Senator Jeff Merkley raised concerns that Chinese companies have redirected goods made in Xinjiang to Canada and Europe following the U.S. ban. The Global Slavery Index estimates that over $18.5 billion worth of goods imported annually into Canada are at risk of being produced with forced labor.

As the international community grapples with this human rights challenge, joint efforts between the U.S. and Canada can play a crucial role in ensuring the integrity of supply chains and protecting vulnerable workers.



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