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Daily Markets Update: Bond Rout Hits 24-Year High, TSX Slips a 4th Day — and It's Jobs Day

  Friday, October 2, 2026. Figures are as of early morning, before the 8:30 a.m. ET U.S. jobs report. Global bond markets set the tone again. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.34% on Thursday, its highest since 2002 , before easing back to about 5.24% by the close. Wall Street held up, but the damage was sharper elsewhere: the UK’s 30-year gilt yield crossed 6% for the first time since 1998, and Toronto slipped for a fourth straight session. Oil jumped more than 4% on Thursday before sliding back under US$100 this morning, and the Canadian dollar fell to a 12-week low. All eyes now turn to today’s U.S. jobs report, which could decide whether the bond selloff cools or keeps running. Today’s big event: the U.S. jobs report The U.S. September jobs report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET . Economists expect roughly 84,000 to 90,000 new jobs, with unemployment holding at 4.1% and wages up 0.3% on the month. That would be a big cooldown from August’s surprise gain of 162,000. It matters bec...
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Wall Street braces for inflation data amid Fed uncertainty

Wall Street is set to open lower on Monday as investors await the latest inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates.

The S&P 500 futures fell 0.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 0.4% ahead of the opening bell.

The main focus this week will be the government’s consumer prices report, due on Tuesday, which will show how much inflation has eased or worsened in February. Inflation has been a major concern for the markets, as it erodes the value of future earnings and could prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy faster than expected.

The Fed has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022, bringing its benchmark rate to a 23-year high of about 5.4%. The central bank has said it expects to cut rates three times in 2024, but has not given any clear signal on the timing of the first cut.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell testified to Congress last week, but did not offer any new insights into the Fed’s outlook or plans. Powell said the Fed would continue to monitor the economic data and act as appropriate to support the recovery.

Investors will also pay attention to other economic indicators this week, such as the producer prices index, the retail sales report, and the consumer sentiment survey.

Meanwhile, the earnings season is winding down, with a few notable companies left to report their results. Oracle, Kohl’s, Dollar Tree, and Dollar General are among the companies scheduled to release their quarterly numbers this week.

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