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The Loonie Just Hit an 8-Week High — Here's What a Stronger Dollar Means for You

  August 11, 2026 Three weeks ago, we told you the Canadian dollar had crashed to a 14-month low . This week, it's doing the opposite: the loonie just touched its strongest level since June, and it's not a small bounce. If you shop online, travel south, or hold US stocks in your RRSP or TFSA, this move actually moves your numbers. What actually happened The Canadian dollar strengthened to about 1.393–1.394 per US dollar — roughly 71.7 to 71.8 US cents — its best level in eight weeks, according to Reuters and TradingEconomics data. That's a meaningful move: the loonie has gained close to 2% against the greenback since hitting 1.4248 on July 25, and it's up about 1.6% over the past month alone. THE TURNAROUND, IN THREE NUMBERS July 25 (14-month low) 1.4248 USD/CAD Today (8-week high) ~1.394 USD/CAD Move since July 25 Loonie up ~2.2% Two things are driving it. First, Friday's July jobs report blew past every forecast — the Canadian economy added 75,100 jobs against ...
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Bank of Canada Holds Key Interest Rate at 5% Amid Speculation of a June Cut

 



The Bank of Canada (BoC) has maintained its benchmark interest rate at 5% in its third update of the year. However, the central bank has hinted that a rate cut in June is “within the realm of possibilities.” Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized the need for sustained progress on inflation before any decisive action is taken.

Recent data has fueled speculation about a potential rate cut. Notably, core inflation has eased, and the jobs market has stalled. While the BoC expects core inflation to continue its gradual decline, rising gas prices may keep the Consumer Price Index (CPI) hovering around 3% in the coming months.

Governor Macklem emphasized that the central bank will closely monitor inflation trends. The decline in core inflation must be more than a temporary blip to warrant a rate cut. The BoC seeks assurance that this downward trend is sustainable.

Analysts surveyed by Reuters had anticipated the BoC’s decision to maintain the key overnight rate at 5% for the sixth consecutive meeting. However, recent developments have shifted expectations. BMO Capital Markets’ Canadian rates and macro strategist, Benjamin Reitzes, described the BoC’s statement as “mildly more dovish.” While June remains a possibility, the upcoming CPI reports will play a crucial role in shaping the central bank’s next move.

In summary, the Bank of Canada’s decision to hold the rate steady reflects cautious optimism. As we approach June, all eyes will be on inflation indicators, determining whether the path to price stability warrants a rate adjustment. 

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