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Canada's Housing Market Just Showed Its Strongest Sign of Life in 2026

  July 6, 2026 May sales jumped 5.5% nationally, listings tightened, and prices broke back above $700,000 — here's what it actually means if you're buying or selling in Ontario. The headline: After the slowest start to a year in recent memory, Canadian home sales rose 5.5% from April to May 2026 — the first real sign of momentum this year, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). What actually happened in May National home sales climbed 5.5% month-over-month in May, the strongest single-month gain of 2026 so far. New listings pulled back slightly, down 1%, and that combination tightened the national sales-to-new-listings ratio to 49.2%, up from 46.2% in April. For context, anything between 45% and 65% is generally considered a balanced market, so Canada has moved off the buyer-friendly end of that range and toward the middle. The national average home price came in at $702,079, up 1.5% year-over-year and the first time it has topped $700,000 in nearly two year...
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Bank of Canada Holds Key Interest Rate at 5% Amid Speculation of a June Cut

 



The Bank of Canada (BoC) has maintained its benchmark interest rate at 5% in its third update of the year. However, the central bank has hinted that a rate cut in June is “within the realm of possibilities.” Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized the need for sustained progress on inflation before any decisive action is taken.

Recent data has fueled speculation about a potential rate cut. Notably, core inflation has eased, and the jobs market has stalled. While the BoC expects core inflation to continue its gradual decline, rising gas prices may keep the Consumer Price Index (CPI) hovering around 3% in the coming months.

Governor Macklem emphasized that the central bank will closely monitor inflation trends. The decline in core inflation must be more than a temporary blip to warrant a rate cut. The BoC seeks assurance that this downward trend is sustainable.

Analysts surveyed by Reuters had anticipated the BoC’s decision to maintain the key overnight rate at 5% for the sixth consecutive meeting. However, recent developments have shifted expectations. BMO Capital Markets’ Canadian rates and macro strategist, Benjamin Reitzes, described the BoC’s statement as “mildly more dovish.” While June remains a possibility, the upcoming CPI reports will play a crucial role in shaping the central bank’s next move.

In summary, the Bank of Canada’s decision to hold the rate steady reflects cautious optimism. As we approach June, all eyes will be on inflation indicators, determining whether the path to price stability warrants a rate adjustment. 

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