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Ontario's 2027 Rent Increase Guideline Is 1.9% — What Landlords and Tenants Need to Know Before October

  August 16, 2026 If you own a rental property in Ontario — or rent one — mark October 3 on your calendar. That's the earliest a landlord can legally serve notice for a rent increase that takes effect January 1, 2027, and it's the practical starting gun for a guideline that's quietly gotten tighter for the third year in a row. The province has set the 2027 rent increase guideline at 1.9% , down from 2.1% in 2026 and well off the 2.5% legal ceiling that held for three straight years before that. It's the lowest guideline Ontario has published in years — and while that sounds like a straightforward win for tenants, the real story for both sides is in the timing, the exemptions, and what a below-inflation-feeling number actually does to a landlord's math. What It Means for You Landlords: the earliest you can serve a valid N1 notice for a January 1, 2027 increase is October 3, 2026 — 90 days' notice is mandatory. Tenants: a 1.9% cap only applies if your unit is rent...
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Bank of Canada Holds Key Interest Rate at 5% Amid Speculation of a June Cut

 



The Bank of Canada (BoC) has maintained its benchmark interest rate at 5% in its third update of the year. However, the central bank has hinted that a rate cut in June is “within the realm of possibilities.” Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized the need for sustained progress on inflation before any decisive action is taken.

Recent data has fueled speculation about a potential rate cut. Notably, core inflation has eased, and the jobs market has stalled. While the BoC expects core inflation to continue its gradual decline, rising gas prices may keep the Consumer Price Index (CPI) hovering around 3% in the coming months.

Governor Macklem emphasized that the central bank will closely monitor inflation trends. The decline in core inflation must be more than a temporary blip to warrant a rate cut. The BoC seeks assurance that this downward trend is sustainable.

Analysts surveyed by Reuters had anticipated the BoC’s decision to maintain the key overnight rate at 5% for the sixth consecutive meeting. However, recent developments have shifted expectations. BMO Capital Markets’ Canadian rates and macro strategist, Benjamin Reitzes, described the BoC’s statement as “mildly more dovish.” While June remains a possibility, the upcoming CPI reports will play a crucial role in shaping the central bank’s next move.

In summary, the Bank of Canada’s decision to hold the rate steady reflects cautious optimism. As we approach June, all eyes will be on inflation indicators, determining whether the path to price stability warrants a rate adjustment. 

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