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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Bitcoin Halving: A Catalyst for Long-Term Growth

 

As Bitcoin edges toward a pivotal moment in its lifecycle—the upcoming halving event—industry experts gather to dissect its implications and the broader economic landscape. Let’s explore how this event might influence Bitcoin’s valuation and the public’s perception of its worth.

The Halving Event Explained

Bitcoin’s halving event occurs approximately once every four years. During this event, the reward for mining Bitcoin transactions is halved, thereby reducing the newly-issued supply of this already scarce asset. This capped supply and predictable monetary policy set Bitcoin apart from traditional financial systems.

Market Volatility and Narrative Catalysts

As we approach the halving, Bitcoin’s price volatility remains unpredictable. Aaron Arnold, co-founder of “Altcoin Daily,” acknowledges the market’s uncertainty, stating, "It’s almost impossible for me to predict what’s going to happen in the next 10 days". However, he emphasizes that the halving serves as a major narrative catalyst for Bitcoin. Recent developments, such as exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows and legal battles within the sector, could inflate Bitcoin’s value, making it bullish from a technical standpoint.

Bitcoin’s Independence from Traditional Markets

Bitcoin’s reaction to traditional financial news has evolved. While it used to closely mirror negative news, it now seems to ignore it. For instance, during a banking sector crash in 2023, Bitcoin rallied from around $20,000 to $30,000, demonstrating its independence from traditional market responses. Analysts like Aaron Williams of “Bitcoin Bros” remain optimistic, championing Bitcoin as a resilient long-term investment regardless of inflationary pressures.

Conclusion

As the halving event approaches, Bitcoin’s potential for long-term gains remains a topic of intense discussion. Whether it reaches new heights or faces short-term volatility, its unique characteristics position it as a significant player in the financial landscape. Investors and enthusiasts alike eagerly await the outcome, knowing that Bitcoin continues to carve its own path.


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