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Is Now a Good Time to Rent vs. Buy in Canada?

After years of brutal rent hikes that left many Canadians feeling priced out of their own cities, something has quietly shifted: rents are finally falling. But does that mean you should lock in a lease and wait out the housing market — or is this actually the window you've been waiting for to buy? The answer, as always, depends on your city, your finances, and your plans. Here's a clear-eyed breakdown of where things stand in 2026. What's Happening With Rents Right Now The Canadian rental market has undergone a dramatic reversal. After vacancy rates hit record lows in 2023 and rents surged by as much as 8% nationally in a single year, the tide has turned. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the national vacancy rate for purpose-built rental apartments rose to 3.1% in October 2025 — up from 2.2% in 2024 and a record low of just 1.5% in 2023. That 3.1% figure now sits above the 10-year historical average , marking a meaningful shift in the bal...

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Canada to Unveil Budget Amid Fiscal Doubts

 

Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland is set to present the budget on Tuesday, but experts remain skeptical about the government’s fiscal targets. The recent surge in spending plans, particularly in housing, defense, and healthcare, has raised concerns about weakening government finances.

In last year’s Fall Economic Statement (FES), the government aimed to cap the fiscal 2023-24 budget deficit at C$40.1 billion ($29.12 billion), equivalent to about 1.4% of GDP. However, economists estimate that the deficit for the fiscal year ending March 31 could be around C$47 billion, primarily driven by government expenses.

Freeland acknowledges the need for investment in Canada’s current housing affordability crisis, exacerbated by a lack of supply and increased migration. The opposition Conservative Party has criticized the Liberal government for this situation, impacting Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s popularity.

The upcoming budget, scheduled for presentation to parliament on Tuesday at 4:00 p.m. EDT (2000 GMT), will likely force the government to consider new taxes. However, raising taxes in an inflationary environment could hinder business investments necessary for improving Canada’s productivity.

Despite these challenges, Canada’s sovereign debt remains highly rated globally, providing some stability amidst fiscal uncertainties.

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