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Trump Signals Iran War Deal ‘Soon’ as Strait of Hormuz Stays Open, Easing Market Fears

                                   U.S. President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war could come “soon,”   President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war could come “soon,” a comment that helped calm global markets as the vital Strait of Hormuz remains open to commercial shipping. The waterway, which handles roughly one‑fifth of the world’s oil supply, has been a central concern for investors since the conflict began. With tankers continuing to move through the strait, oil prices have stabilized after weeks of volatility. Analysts note that even the perception of reduced risk in the region can ease pressure on global inflation, particularly in energy‑dependent economies like Canada. For Canadian households, a more stable oil market could help limit further increases in gasoline, transportation, and food costs. Equity markets reacted cautiously but positively,...
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Canada to Unveil Budget Amid Fiscal Doubts

 

Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland is set to present the budget on Tuesday, but experts remain skeptical about the government’s fiscal targets. The recent surge in spending plans, particularly in housing, defense, and healthcare, has raised concerns about weakening government finances.

In last year’s Fall Economic Statement (FES), the government aimed to cap the fiscal 2023-24 budget deficit at C$40.1 billion ($29.12 billion), equivalent to about 1.4% of GDP. However, economists estimate that the deficit for the fiscal year ending March 31 could be around C$47 billion, primarily driven by government expenses.

Freeland acknowledges the need for investment in Canada’s current housing affordability crisis, exacerbated by a lack of supply and increased migration. The opposition Conservative Party has criticized the Liberal government for this situation, impacting Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s popularity.

The upcoming budget, scheduled for presentation to parliament on Tuesday at 4:00 p.m. EDT (2000 GMT), will likely force the government to consider new taxes. However, raising taxes in an inflationary environment could hinder business investments necessary for improving Canada’s productivity.

Despite these challenges, Canada’s sovereign debt remains highly rated globally, providing some stability amidst fiscal uncertainties.

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