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Wall Street Futures Rise as Inflation Cools, Boosting Rate-Cut Hopes

US stock futures climbed Friday morning after the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed inflation rising at a slightly slower pace than expected. The data offered investors reassurance that price pressures are easing, strengthening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained about 0.5% S&P 500 futures rose 0.7% Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 1% The September CPI report revealed annual inflation at 3% , just below forecasts of 3.1%. On a monthly basis, prices increased 0.3% , a modest slowdown from August. This cooler-than-expected reading comes after a delay caused by the government shutdown, making it the first major economic release in weeks. With nearly all market bets pointing to a Fed rate cut, investors are increasingly optimistic about a softer monetary policy path ahead.

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Canada to Unveil Budget Amid Fiscal Doubts

 

Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland is set to present the budget on Tuesday, but experts remain skeptical about the government’s fiscal targets. The recent surge in spending plans, particularly in housing, defense, and healthcare, has raised concerns about weakening government finances.

In last year’s Fall Economic Statement (FES), the government aimed to cap the fiscal 2023-24 budget deficit at C$40.1 billion ($29.12 billion), equivalent to about 1.4% of GDP. However, economists estimate that the deficit for the fiscal year ending March 31 could be around C$47 billion, primarily driven by government expenses.

Freeland acknowledges the need for investment in Canada’s current housing affordability crisis, exacerbated by a lack of supply and increased migration. The opposition Conservative Party has criticized the Liberal government for this situation, impacting Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s popularity.

The upcoming budget, scheduled for presentation to parliament on Tuesday at 4:00 p.m. EDT (2000 GMT), will likely force the government to consider new taxes. However, raising taxes in an inflationary environment could hinder business investments necessary for improving Canada’s productivity.

Despite these challenges, Canada’s sovereign debt remains highly rated globally, providing some stability amidst fiscal uncertainties.

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