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Hopes Rise for Iran War Deal, but Nuclear Standoff Keeps Global Markets on Edge

  Hopes for Deal to End Iran War Grow, but Nuclear Issues Keep Markets Volatile Growing optimism around a possible agreement to end the Iran war has provided some relief to global markets, but the underlying nuclear disputes remain unresolved — and that uncertainty continues to shape economic sentiment worldwide. Recent signals of progress in ceasefire discussions have already triggered sharp market reactions. Reports of “constructive conversations” between the U.S. and Iran pushed oil prices down and lifted global equities, underscoring how sensitive markets remain to any sign of de‑escalation. The conflict has kept the Strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint for roughly 20% of global oil supply — partially closed, creating what analysts describe as one of the largest energy supply disruptions in modern history.  Even temporary ceasefire announcements have produced dramatic swings. A recent two‑week truce sent global stocks surging and crude prices plunging more than 16%, reflecting ...
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Canada to Unveil Budget Amid Fiscal Doubts

 

Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland is set to present the budget on Tuesday, but experts remain skeptical about the government’s fiscal targets. The recent surge in spending plans, particularly in housing, defense, and healthcare, has raised concerns about weakening government finances.

In last year’s Fall Economic Statement (FES), the government aimed to cap the fiscal 2023-24 budget deficit at C$40.1 billion ($29.12 billion), equivalent to about 1.4% of GDP. However, economists estimate that the deficit for the fiscal year ending March 31 could be around C$47 billion, primarily driven by government expenses.

Freeland acknowledges the need for investment in Canada’s current housing affordability crisis, exacerbated by a lack of supply and increased migration. The opposition Conservative Party has criticized the Liberal government for this situation, impacting Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s popularity.

The upcoming budget, scheduled for presentation to parliament on Tuesday at 4:00 p.m. EDT (2000 GMT), will likely force the government to consider new taxes. However, raising taxes in an inflationary environment could hinder business investments necessary for improving Canada’s productivity.

Despite these challenges, Canada’s sovereign debt remains highly rated globally, providing some stability amidst fiscal uncertainties.

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