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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Canada’s Carbon Price Increases: What You Need to Know


Canada’s carbon price has taken center stage once again as it ramps up despite calls from several provincial leaders for a pause. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s minority Liberal government considers the carbon price a cornerstone policy in the fight against climate change. But what does this increase mean for Canadians?

The looming April 1 carbon price hike is not an unexpected surprise. The idea behind it is simple: by putting a price on pollution, people will be incentivized to use fewer fossil fuels, ultimately driving down emissions from our economy. This incremental approach is part of the government’s overall pricing scheme, with planned increases until at least 2030. Provinces and territories can voluntarily adopt the federal pricing system or face the federal backstop plan to ensure consistent carbon pricing across Canada.

The planned increase will be most noticeable at the gas station and on energy bills in provinces and territories where the federal backstop plan applies. While it’s true that the carbon price contributes to energy costs, it remains a smaller factor compared to global oil prices and corporate profitability. So, while you might notice a slight uptick at the pump, it’s essential to recognize that the effects on household affordability are not as dramatic as some might fear.

Canadians will also experience indirect effects, such as transportation costs filtering down into food prices. But remember, this is part of a broader effort to create a more sustainable future for our planet.

In summary, brace yourselves for the carbon price increase, but keep in mind that it’s a step toward a greener, cleaner Canada. 

Sources:

  1. Global News
  2. Global News Video
  3. Global News
  4. Global News
  5. Global News
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