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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Canada’s Inflation Edges Up to 2.9% in March: A Closer Look


In March 2024, Canada’s annual inflation rate nudged up to 2.9%, driven by several factors including rising gasoline prices, mortgage interest costs, and rent. Let’s delve into the details of this economic development.

Key Points:

  1. Gasoline Prices Surge: The surge in gasoline prices played a significant role in pushing up the inflation rate. As global energy markets fluctuate, consumers are feeling the impact at the pump.

  2. Mortgage Interest and Rent Costs: Alongside fuel, mortgage interest costs and rent contributed to the overall increase. These expenses are closely monitored by households and can significantly affect their budgets.

  3. Bank of Canada’s Watchful Eye: The Bank of Canada, which recently maintained its key interest rate at 5%, will closely scrutinize this inflation report. While the central bank remains cautious, it acknowledges the possibility of adjusting interest rates in the future.

  4. Budget Implications: The release of the inflation report coincides with the federal government’s budget announcement. Policymakers will consider these inflationary trends as they shape economic policies.

As Canada grapples with inflationary pressures, policymakers and citizens alike must stay vigilant. The delicate balance between economic growth and price stability remains a priority for the nation. The coming months will reveal whether this upward trend persists or moderates.


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