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CMHC Just Cut Its Housing Forecast — What It Means If You're Buying, Selling, or Renewing

  Published July 28, 2026 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation quietly downgraded its outlook for the rest of 2026 last week, and the new numbers are worth a look no matter which side of the housing market you're standing on. The federal housing agency's Summer 2026 update now calls for slower growth, softer home prices, fewer new builds and continued easing in rental markets right through the end of the year — with a split that leaves Ontario and B.C. looking a lot different from the Prairies and Quebec. Here's what's actually in the update, and what it means for your specific situation. What CMHC changed The agency's baseline call for 2026 is a Canadian economy growing at just 0.7%, with high borrowing costs, weak population growth and cautious buyers keeping a lid on demand even as affordability has technically improved. The practical result, nationally: Housing starts are expected to fall to about 241,400 units this year, down from 259,028 in 2025 Resale acti...

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Canada’s Inflation Edges Up to 2.9% in March: A Closer Look


In March 2024, Canada’s annual inflation rate nudged up to 2.9%, driven by several factors including rising gasoline prices, mortgage interest costs, and rent. Let’s delve into the details of this economic development.

Key Points:

  1. Gasoline Prices Surge: The surge in gasoline prices played a significant role in pushing up the inflation rate. As global energy markets fluctuate, consumers are feeling the impact at the pump.

  2. Mortgage Interest and Rent Costs: Alongside fuel, mortgage interest costs and rent contributed to the overall increase. These expenses are closely monitored by households and can significantly affect their budgets.

  3. Bank of Canada’s Watchful Eye: The Bank of Canada, which recently maintained its key interest rate at 5%, will closely scrutinize this inflation report. While the central bank remains cautious, it acknowledges the possibility of adjusting interest rates in the future.

  4. Budget Implications: The release of the inflation report coincides with the federal government’s budget announcement. Policymakers will consider these inflationary trends as they shape economic policies.

As Canada grapples with inflationary pressures, policymakers and citizens alike must stay vigilant. The delicate balance between economic growth and price stability remains a priority for the nation. The coming months will reveal whether this upward trend persists or moderates.


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