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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Canada’s Inflation Edges Up to 2.9% in March: A Closer Look


In March 2024, Canada’s annual inflation rate nudged up to 2.9%, driven by several factors including rising gasoline prices, mortgage interest costs, and rent. Let’s delve into the details of this economic development.

Key Points:

  1. Gasoline Prices Surge: The surge in gasoline prices played a significant role in pushing up the inflation rate. As global energy markets fluctuate, consumers are feeling the impact at the pump.

  2. Mortgage Interest and Rent Costs: Alongside fuel, mortgage interest costs and rent contributed to the overall increase. These expenses are closely monitored by households and can significantly affect their budgets.

  3. Bank of Canada’s Watchful Eye: The Bank of Canada, which recently maintained its key interest rate at 5%, will closely scrutinize this inflation report. While the central bank remains cautious, it acknowledges the possibility of adjusting interest rates in the future.

  4. Budget Implications: The release of the inflation report coincides with the federal government’s budget announcement. Policymakers will consider these inflationary trends as they shape economic policies.

As Canada grapples with inflationary pressures, policymakers and citizens alike must stay vigilant. The delicate balance between economic growth and price stability remains a priority for the nation. The coming months will reveal whether this upward trend persists or moderates.


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