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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Geopolitical Tensions and Rate Warnings Trigger Sharp Decline in Asian Stocks

The recent events have significantly affected Asian stock markets. Here are some key points:

  1. Iran-Israel Escalation: Reports of Israeli strikes on Iran have heightened concerns over geopolitical conditions in the Middle East. The situation escalated after explosions were reported across Iran, with some near nuclear facilities in Isfahan. This development has impacted risk appetite and contributed to the market decline.

  2. Persistent Rate Warnings: Ongoing warnings about U.S. interest rates have also played a role. Investors are closely monitoring rate decisions, which can influence market sentiment and investment strategies.

  3. Tech Stocks Hit Hard: Technology and chipmaking stocks faced steep losses. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp (TSMC), a major player in the chip industry, scaled back its expansion outlook for this year. Other tech giants like SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Advantest Corp., and Tokyo Electron also experienced significant declines.

  4. Regional Impact: Japanese stocks (Nikkei 225 and TOPIX) were hit the hardest, followed by Australia’s ASX 200 and South Korea’s KOSPI. China’s markets (Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite) saw limited losses due to optimism over stimulus measures. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index also declined.

In summary, the combination of geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties has led to a sharp decline in Asian stocks. Investors are closely monitoring developments and adjusting their portfolios accordingly.

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