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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Geopolitical Tensions and Rate Warnings Trigger Sharp Decline in Asian Stocks

The recent events have significantly affected Asian stock markets. Here are some key points:

  1. Iran-Israel Escalation: Reports of Israeli strikes on Iran have heightened concerns over geopolitical conditions in the Middle East. The situation escalated after explosions were reported across Iran, with some near nuclear facilities in Isfahan. This development has impacted risk appetite and contributed to the market decline.

  2. Persistent Rate Warnings: Ongoing warnings about U.S. interest rates have also played a role. Investors are closely monitoring rate decisions, which can influence market sentiment and investment strategies.

  3. Tech Stocks Hit Hard: Technology and chipmaking stocks faced steep losses. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp (TSMC), a major player in the chip industry, scaled back its expansion outlook for this year. Other tech giants like SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Advantest Corp., and Tokyo Electron also experienced significant declines.

  4. Regional Impact: Japanese stocks (Nikkei 225 and TOPIX) were hit the hardest, followed by Australia’s ASX 200 and South Korea’s KOSPI. China’s markets (Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite) saw limited losses due to optimism over stimulus measures. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index also declined.

In summary, the combination of geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties has led to a sharp decline in Asian stocks. Investors are closely monitoring developments and adjusting their portfolios accordingly.

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