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Big Bank Earnings Are In: What They Reveal About Your Mortgage Stress

  August 26, 2026 Canada's biggest banks are in the middle of reporting Q3 2026 results, and so far the headline numbers look strong. BMO and Scotiabank both beat analyst estimates this week, and National Bank of Canada reported this morning. RBC, TD, and CIBC follow Thursday, closing out the sector's earnings season. But the number that actually matters to most Canadians isn't profit — it's what the banks are setting aside for loans that might go bad, and what they're saying about who's struggling to keep up. That's where the picture gets more interesting than the headlines suggest. The headline numbers BMO kicked off the week with adjusted profit up 22% year-over-year and return on equity climbing to 14%, with the bank reiterating its target of 15% ROE by the end of fiscal 2027. Scotiabank posted what CEO Scott Thomson called a record quarter: net income of $3 billion, up 21% year-over-year, with adjusted ROE hitting 14.2% — clearing the bank's own med...
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Market Tremors: U.S. Futures Dip as Inflation Heats Up

 


In a surprising twist that rattled investors, U.S. stock futures took a nosedive following a hotter-than-expected inflation report. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key gauge of inflation, rose by 0.4% over the previous month and 3.5% over the last year in March, surpassing the forecasts which anticipated a 3.4% annual increase. This acceleration from February’s 3.2% annual gain in prices has sparked concerns that the Federal Reserve may hold off on interest rate cuts, a decision heavily influenced by inflation trends.

The unexpected uptick has led to a significant drop in U.S. futures, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all experiencing over a 1% fall in anticipation of the market opening. This development is a stark reminder of the delicate balance central banks must maintain in their efforts to control inflation without stifling economic growth.

Investors are now bracing for potential turbulence in the markets, as they await further signals from the Federal Reserve on the future trajectory of monetary policy. The upcoming release of the Fed’s March meeting minutes is highly anticipated, with hopes that it will shed light on the policymakers’ stance on rate adjustments in the face of persistent inflationary pressures.

As the market absorbs the impact of the CPI report, all eyes will be on the Fed’s next move, making it clear that the path to economic stability is fraught with uncertainty.

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