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BoC Opens the Door to Rate Hikes: What It Means for Your Mortgage

  Published September 4, 2026 The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh straight hold — but Governor Tiff Macklem didn't sound like a central banker done for the year. He told reporters the Bank is "prepared to raise interest rates, and if it takes more than one increase, we're prepared to do that," if inflation stays too high. That's a real shift in tone, and it lands right as a wave of Canadians hit their mortgage renewal date. Here's what changed, who's forecasting what, and what it actually means for your payment. Why the Bank Suddenly Sounds Hawkish Canada's annual inflation rate has climbed to around 3% — a full point above the Bank's 2% target — and the Bank is pointing squarely at energy prices. Oil has stayed elevated because of the Iran conflict and disruption near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing gas prices up and dragging headline CPI with it. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, is still s...
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Mideast Enters Dangerous New Phase With Iran’s Attack on Israel

 

In a significant escalation of tensions, Iran launched an unprecedented attack on Israel, firing over 300 drones and missiles. The attack, which took place on a Saturday evening, was largely thwarted by Israel and its allies, including the US, UK, and France, with most of the projectiles intercepted before reaching Israeli airspace¹. Fortunately, there were no fatalities reported, although a 10-year-old girl in Israel was badly injured by falling shrapnel, and an army base sustained light damage.

US President Joe Biden condemned the assault in the strongest terms, emphasizing that it was the first attack from Iranian soil against Israel. Israeli officials warned that this incident marked "a severe and dangerous escalation" from Tehran. However, neither the US nor Israel indicated immediate plans for retaliation against Iran. The attack came after Iran's embassy compound in Syria was hit by missiles on April 1, resulting in the deaths of seven Iranian officers. Iran stated that it would refrain from further assaults unless Israel responded strongly.

Despite the tension, stock markets in Israel, Saudi Arabia, and other Middle Eastern countries experienced only slight declines. Iran deliberately limited the scale of its retaliation, aiming for maximum symbolism but minimum damage. The situation remains precarious, and global leaders are coordinating a united diplomatic response. Oil prices surged following the Syria strike, with Brent climbing above $90 a barrel, and analysts speculating it could reach $100 if direct conflict between Iran and Israel escalates. The Israeli shekel weakened, and Israeli stocks initially rose but later reversed gains. Saudi Arabia expressed deep concern over the military escalation developments in the region.

As the Middle East enters this perilous new phase, the world watches closely, aware that the situation could have far-reaching consequences for regional stability and international relations.



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