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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...

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Netanyahu Vows to Invade Rafah “With or Without” a Deal

 

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has issued a strong statement regarding the southern Gaza city of Rafah. Despite ongoing truce talks with Hamas, Netanyahu declared that Israel would launch an invasion of Rafah, regardless of any deal. The situation has escalated as attempts continue to reach an agreement for a ceasefire and the release of hostages.

The Stakes

More than half of Gaza’s 2.5 million population resides in Rafah, having fled there to escape fighting in other parts of the territory. Conditions in the overcrowded city are dire, with displaced people facing shortages of food, water, and medication. The West Bank-based Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has warned that an invasion of Rafah would be the “biggest catastrophe in the Palestinian people’s history.”

International Pressure

The United States has also weighed in on the situation. President Joe Biden reiterated his stance against a Rafah invasion unless civilians were properly protected. He previously described such an invasion as a “red line.” Meanwhile, indirect talks between Hamas and Israel have reached an impasse, despite efforts by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken to encourage a truce.

Netanyahu’s Determination

Netanyahu remains resolute. He stated that the war would continue until Israel achieved all its objectives in Rafah. “The idea that we will halt the war before achieving all of its goals is out of the question,” he asserted. “We will enter Rafah and eliminate the Hamas battalions there with or without a deal.”

The families of hostages, who have been kidnapped by Hamas during the conflict, urged Netanyahu and his national security adviser to continue the war, disregarding mounting international pressure. While some hostages have been released or rescued, over 130 remain unaccounted for.

A Looming Crisis

Philippe Lazzarini, head of the UN’s refugee organization, warned that the looming invasion was causing people in Rafah to live in a state of “constant traumatic stress disorder.” The possibility of evacuation hangs in the balance, contingent on whether a deal can be reached this week.

In this tense situation, Netanyahu’s unwavering determination underscores the gravity of the conflict and its impact on civilians caught in the crossfire.

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