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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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Ottawa and Ontario Reach Deal to Clear Path for Highway 413 Project

 


In a significant development, Ontario and the federal government have announced a deal that will allow the contentious Highway 413 project to move forward. Here are the key details:

  • Project Assessment Set Aside: The Federal Court ruled that the assessment of Ontario’s Highway 413 project can be set aside. As a result, the highway project can proceed without a full-fledged federal environmental assessment.

  • Collaborative Process: Officials from both levels of government have agreed to a collaborative process to address issues related to federal species at risk throughout the project planning in Ontario. This approach aims to ensure that environmental impacts are minimized while considering critical habitats for species such as the Western chorus frog and the red-headed woodpecker.

  • Federal Court Approval: The Federal Court has canceled the project’s designation under the Impact Assessment Act. A joint consent order filed by both governments on March 20 requested the discontinuation of the federal environmental assessment for the project.

  • Working Group: An essential step involves the establishment of a joint working group between the Ontario transportation ministry and the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada. This group will recommend measures to mitigate environmental impacts within areas of federal environmental jurisdiction. Their collective expertise will guide the project as it moves into the design stage.

  • Ontario’s Commitment: Ontario’s own environmental assessment process is already underway, and the province remains committed to constructing projects that minimize environmental impacts. Transportation Minister Prabmeet Sarkaria expressed optimism about moving forward with the Highway 413 project, emphasizing that a federal environmental assessment would have caused significant delays.

This agreement marks a pivotal moment for Ontario, providing much-needed clarity and momentum for the Highway 413 initiative. With the roadblock cleared, the province aims to commence work on the project within the next year. The proposed route for Highway 413 will traverse parts of the Greenbelt, connecting the existing 400 and 401 highways in the northern and western regions of the Greater Toronto Area.

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