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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Ottawa and Ontario Reach Deal to Clear Path for Highway 413 Project

 


In a significant development, Ontario and the federal government have announced a deal that will allow the contentious Highway 413 project to move forward. Here are the key details:

  • Project Assessment Set Aside: The Federal Court ruled that the assessment of Ontario’s Highway 413 project can be set aside. As a result, the highway project can proceed without a full-fledged federal environmental assessment.

  • Collaborative Process: Officials from both levels of government have agreed to a collaborative process to address issues related to federal species at risk throughout the project planning in Ontario. This approach aims to ensure that environmental impacts are minimized while considering critical habitats for species such as the Western chorus frog and the red-headed woodpecker.

  • Federal Court Approval: The Federal Court has canceled the project’s designation under the Impact Assessment Act. A joint consent order filed by both governments on March 20 requested the discontinuation of the federal environmental assessment for the project.

  • Working Group: An essential step involves the establishment of a joint working group between the Ontario transportation ministry and the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada. This group will recommend measures to mitigate environmental impacts within areas of federal environmental jurisdiction. Their collective expertise will guide the project as it moves into the design stage.

  • Ontario’s Commitment: Ontario’s own environmental assessment process is already underway, and the province remains committed to constructing projects that minimize environmental impacts. Transportation Minister Prabmeet Sarkaria expressed optimism about moving forward with the Highway 413 project, emphasizing that a federal environmental assessment would have caused significant delays.

This agreement marks a pivotal moment for Ontario, providing much-needed clarity and momentum for the Highway 413 initiative. With the roadblock cleared, the province aims to commence work on the project within the next year. The proposed route for Highway 413 will traverse parts of the Greenbelt, connecting the existing 400 and 401 highways in the northern and western regions of the Greater Toronto Area.

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