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Strategic Alliances in a Shifting Global Landscape

In a world marked by geopolitical tensions and shifting alliances, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping have positioned themselves as defenders of a new world order. Their recent meeting in Moscow, coinciding with the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II, underscored their commitment to countering Western influence and promoting a multipolar global system. During the talks, Putin and Xi emphasized their shared vision of international stability, rejecting what they described as "unilateralism and bullying"—a veiled reference to the United States. Xi reaffirmed China's support for Russia, highlighting their strategic partnership and mutual interests in shaping global governance. The leaders also pledged to safeguard the authority of the United Nations and advocate for the rights of developing nations. This alliance comes at a critical time, as both nations face economic and political challenges. Russia continues to navigate Western sancti...

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S&P 500 Suffers Longest Losing Streak Since January

 S&P 500

The stock market is experiencing its longest losing streak since January, with the S&P 500 index extending its decline for a fourth consecutive day. Despite a slide in bond yields, equities have fallen more than 4% from their all-time high. Here are the key points:

  1. Tech Sell-Off: A handful of big tech companies sold off, contributing to the market downturn. Chipmakers, in particular, bore the brunt of the selling after ASML Holding NV’s orders tumbled, and Nvidia Corp. led losses among megacaps.

  2. Volatility Whipsaw: A tug of war between bulls and bears unfolded as VIX options expired. Wall Street’s favorite volatility gauge has been whipsawing, reflecting uncertainty in the market.

  3. Interest Rates and Fed Hawkishness: Rising interest rates, combined with the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, have put bears temporarily in charge. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that policymakers will wait longer than previously anticipated to cut rates following high inflation readings. Investors are now betting on just one to two rate cuts this year, according to futures markets.

  4. Consolidation Phase: While global equities face tactical headwinds, UBS strategists believe this is a consolidation phase. Stocks are expected to continue rising this year due to positive developments such as artificial intelligence boosting productivity, lower warranted equity risk premium, and less concern about margin pressures.

  5. Economic Outlook: The U.S. economy has “expanded slightly” since late February, but firms reported greater difficulty in passing on higher costs. Powell’s hawkish tone suggests that the Fed wants the market to tighten conditions on its own.

Despite the recent slide, experts remain optimistic about stocks in the long term. Keep an eye on further developments and be prepared for potential volatility in the coming weeks.


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