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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Seven Ways the 2024 Federal Budget Impacts Your Finances

 

The 2024 federal budget in Canada has introduced several measures that directly affect your financial well-being. Let’s explore seven key ways this budget impacts you:

  1. Capital Gains Inclusion Rate Increase:

    • The budget proposes raising the capital gains inclusion rate from 50% to 66.67% for corporations, trusts, and individuals (for capital gains exceeding $250,000) on or after June 25, 2024.
    • This change affects how much tax you pay when selling assets like stocks, real estate, or businesses.

  2. Employee Stock Options:

    • If you receive employee stock options, the taxable benefit deduction will be reduced to 33.33% (from 50%) due to the higher capital gains inclusion rate.
    • However, you can still claim a combined deduction of up to $250,000 for both stock options and capital gains.

  3. Net Capital Losses:

    • Prior-year net capital losses can offset taxable capital gains in the current year, even after the rate change.
    • This means losses realized before the rate increase can fully offset equivalent gains afterward.

  4. Affordable Housing Initiatives:

    • The budget aims to build more affordable homes, addressing the challenge of elevated living costs.
    • While there are no changes to personal tax brackets, housing affordability remains a priority.

  5. Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT):

    • The budget proposes amendments to AMT proposals, reducing the negative impact on charitable donations’ tax treatment.
    • This benefits those who contribute to charities while minimizing their tax liability.

  6. Carbon Tax Offset:

    • Although not explicitly mentioned, the budget likely includes measures to offset the carbon tax impact on households.
    • These efforts align with environmental goals and may affect your energy costs.

  7. Small Business Investment:

    • Expect further investment incentives for small businesses, encouraging growth and job creation.
    • The budget aims to boost the economy and support entrepreneurs.

In summary, the 2024 federal budget combines tax changes, housing initiatives, and economic strategies to enhance financial stability for Canadians. Stay informed and adapt your financial plans accordingly.

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