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Ottawa's Parliament Hill, where the Carney government is rolling out Canada's largest fiscal stimulus package since 1980. / Photo: Unsplash. MoneySavings.ca  ·  Economy & Policy Monday, April 13, 2026  ·  Daily Edition Canada at a crossroads: oil shock, frozen rates, and a trade deal on the clock Canada's economy is navigating a uniquely complicated moment in 2026. A Middle East conflict has sent oil prices surging past US$104 a barrel, a once-in-a-generation fiscal stimulus package is being rolled out in Ottawa, and the clock is ticking on a renegotiation of Canada's most important trade agreement. For everyday Canadians, this means uncertainty at the gas pump, a central bank with limited room to cut rates, and a federal government betting big on public spending to kick-start growth. Here is what you need to know about the forces shaping the Canadian economy right now. 1. The Bank of Canada is stuck — and oil is why The Bank of Canada has held it...
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Stock Market Reacts to Surprising Inflation Data


In a surprising turn of events, the stock market experienced a significant downturn as recent inflation data came in unexpectedly high. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4% over the previous month and 3.5% over the prior year in March, surpassing the anticipated figures. This acceleration from February’s 3.2% annual gain in prices has dampened hopes for imminent interest rate cuts.

As a result, major stock indices fell sharply. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by approximately 1.1%, while the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite saw declines of nearly 1% and 0.9%, respectively. Concurrently, bond yields soared, with the 10-year Treasury yield reaching its highest level since November at nearly 4.57%.

This market reaction reflects investors’ recalibrated expectations, with many now betting on the Federal Reserve maintaining current rate levels through June and possibly July, pushing the likelihood of an initial rate cut to September. The latest Federal Reserve policy meeting minutes revealed that officials are open to lowering interest rates “at some point,” but the timing remains uncertain.

Amidst these developments, crude oil futures rebounded following reports of potential conflict escalation in the Middle East, which could further impact market dynamics. The situation remains fluid, with investors closely monitoring the interplay between inflation trends and central bank policies.




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