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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Stock Market Today: Wall Street Reacts to Mixed Earnings from Big Banks


Wall Street experienced a cautious start today as several major banks reported mixed first-quarter earnings. The market sentiment was influenced by expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Earnings Reports and Guidance

  • Mixed Bag: Big banks delivered a blend of positive and negative news. Some exceeded expectations, while others trimmed their guidance.
  • Interest Rate Assumptions: The banks’ cautious outlook was based on the assumption that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates.

Global Markets and Tech Rebound

  • European Shares: European markets opened higher despite Asian markets retreating. A tech-fueled rebound on Wall Street the previous day had a ripple effect.
  • Oil Prices: Oil prices trended higher.
  • S&P 500 and Dow Jones: The future for the S&P 500 slipped slightly, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged higher.
  • Germany’s DAX: The DAX advanced, with inflation easing in March.
  • Asian Equities: Asian markets showed resilience, even amid a stronger U.S. dollar and China’s deflationary challenges.

Tech Stocks Take the Lead

  • S&P 500: The index rose, driven by Big Tech. Apple and Nvidia were notable gainers.
  • Amazon Sets a Record: Amazon’s stock climbed, surpassing its prior high set in 2021.
  • Market Dynamics: The gains, which had been spreading out, shifted back to a handful of Big Tech stocks.
  • Inflation Concerns: Persistent high inflation remains a key concern for traders, impacting bond markets and interest rate expectations.

Conclusion

The stock market remains dynamic, responding to earnings reports, inflation data, and global trends. Investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s moves. As the year unfolds, market dynamics will continue to evolve, shaping investment strategies.


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