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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Stock Market Today: Wall Street Reacts to Mixed Earnings from Big Banks


Wall Street experienced a cautious start today as several major banks reported mixed first-quarter earnings. The market sentiment was influenced by expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Earnings Reports and Guidance

  • Mixed Bag: Big banks delivered a blend of positive and negative news. Some exceeded expectations, while others trimmed their guidance.
  • Interest Rate Assumptions: The banks’ cautious outlook was based on the assumption that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates.

Global Markets and Tech Rebound

  • European Shares: European markets opened higher despite Asian markets retreating. A tech-fueled rebound on Wall Street the previous day had a ripple effect.
  • Oil Prices: Oil prices trended higher.
  • S&P 500 and Dow Jones: The future for the S&P 500 slipped slightly, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged higher.
  • Germany’s DAX: The DAX advanced, with inflation easing in March.
  • Asian Equities: Asian markets showed resilience, even amid a stronger U.S. dollar and China’s deflationary challenges.

Tech Stocks Take the Lead

  • S&P 500: The index rose, driven by Big Tech. Apple and Nvidia were notable gainers.
  • Amazon Sets a Record: Amazon’s stock climbed, surpassing its prior high set in 2021.
  • Market Dynamics: The gains, which had been spreading out, shifted back to a handful of Big Tech stocks.
  • Inflation Concerns: Persistent high inflation remains a key concern for traders, impacting bond markets and interest rate expectations.

Conclusion

The stock market remains dynamic, responding to earnings reports, inflation data, and global trends. Investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s moves. As the year unfolds, market dynamics will continue to evolve, shaping investment strategies.


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