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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stock Market Today: Wall Street Reacts to Mixed Earnings from Big Banks


Wall Street experienced a cautious start today as several major banks reported mixed first-quarter earnings. The market sentiment was influenced by expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Earnings Reports and Guidance

  • Mixed Bag: Big banks delivered a blend of positive and negative news. Some exceeded expectations, while others trimmed their guidance.
  • Interest Rate Assumptions: The banks’ cautious outlook was based on the assumption that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates.

Global Markets and Tech Rebound

  • European Shares: European markets opened higher despite Asian markets retreating. A tech-fueled rebound on Wall Street the previous day had a ripple effect.
  • Oil Prices: Oil prices trended higher.
  • S&P 500 and Dow Jones: The future for the S&P 500 slipped slightly, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged higher.
  • Germany’s DAX: The DAX advanced, with inflation easing in March.
  • Asian Equities: Asian markets showed resilience, even amid a stronger U.S. dollar and China’s deflationary challenges.

Tech Stocks Take the Lead

  • S&P 500: The index rose, driven by Big Tech. Apple and Nvidia were notable gainers.
  • Amazon Sets a Record: Amazon’s stock climbed, surpassing its prior high set in 2021.
  • Market Dynamics: The gains, which had been spreading out, shifted back to a handful of Big Tech stocks.
  • Inflation Concerns: Persistent high inflation remains a key concern for traders, impacting bond markets and interest rate expectations.

Conclusion

The stock market remains dynamic, responding to earnings reports, inflation data, and global trends. Investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s moves. As the year unfolds, market dynamics will continue to evolve, shaping investment strategies.


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