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Budget Day 2026: What a $63B+ Deficit Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief • Thursday, November 5, 2026 Ottawa tables its second Carney-era budget today. Almost everyone expects big spending. Hardly anyone expects it to help their own bank account. Here is what the numbers say, and what to do about it. Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne says today’s budget is about “changing Canada’s growth model”: less reliance on the U.S., more building at home. That is a big-picture pitch. Your household budget is a small-picture problem, and a new Abacus Data poll shows the gap between the two is wide. The poll in one line: only 10% of Canadians expect Budget 2026 to make their household better off. 30% expect to be worse off, and 48% expect little difference. (Abacus Data, 1,809 adults, Oct. 30 to Nov. 3.) The deficit, in plain numbers The Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) is the government’s independent fiscal referee. Its latest outlook, which predates the budget and only counts measures already announced, sets the stage: PBO proj...
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Stock Market Update: Oil Surge and Fed’s Caution Impact Stocks Ahead of March Jobs Report

 




The stock market faced headwinds today as oil prices soared to their highest level in six months, while a Federal Reserve official’s warning added to investor caution. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Market Retreat:

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined by almost 1.4%, shedding 550 points.
    • The S&P 500 (GSPC) dropped 1.2%, marking its worst single-day decline since February 13.
    • The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) slipped 1.4%.

  2. Fed’s Caution:

    • Minnesota Fed President Neel Kashkari suggested that the Fed may not cut interest rates in 2024 if inflation progress stalls.
    • Investors reacted to this cautious stance, reversing strong midday gains.

  3. Oil Price Surge:

    • Escalating tensions in the Middle East drove oil futures up by more than 1%.
    • West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) settled at $86.59 per barrel, and Brent (BZ=F) closed at $90.65 per barrel, reaching their highest levels since October.

  4. March Jobs Report Anticipation:

    • All eyes are now on the upcoming March jobs report, scheduled for release on Friday morning.
    • Experts expect it to provide insights into the robustness of the US labor market.
    • Initial jobless claims data released today showed a rise to 221,000, the highest level since January.

In summary, the stock market remains sensitive to oil price fluctuations and Fed communications. Investors eagerly await the jobs report, which will influence the Fed’s policy decisions. Stay tuned for further updates! 

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