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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Tax Season: How to Spot Scams and Keep Your Money Safe


As the tax deadline approaches, so do the scams. Fraudsters are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their tactics to steal personal information and money. Here are some valuable tips to help you stay safe:

  1. Beware of Phishing Emails and Calls:

    • Phishing emails: Be cautious of unsolicited emails claiming to be from the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA). These emails often contain malicious links or attachments. Never click on suspicious links or provide personal or financial information.
    • Phone scams: Scammers may call, pretending to be CRA agents, demanding urgent payments. They might threaten legal action or claim you owe money. Remember that the CRA will never ask for payments via Interac e-Transfer, bitcoin, prepaid credit cards, or gift cards.

  2. Ask Yourself Key Questions:

    • Is the communication threatening or urgent?
    • Does it request payment in unusual forms (e.g., bitcoin or gift cards)?
    • Is the sender or caller claiming to be from the CRA?
    • Trust your instincts and verify before taking any action.

  3. Stay Informed:

    • Keep up-to-date with CRA scam alerts. The CRA regularly shares information about common scams targeting taxpayers. Being aware of these can help you avoid falling victim to fraud.

Remember, protecting your personal information during tax season is crucial. Stay vigilant, and if something seems suspicious, verify its legitimacy before taking any action. Your financial safety matters! 


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