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New Diplomacy on the Horizon: U.S. and Russia Push Ahead Without Ukraine

  In a bold shift from previous diplomatic efforts, top U.S. and Russian officials have agreed to advance negotiations aimed at ending the war in Ukraine—even as Ukrainian representatives remain notably absent. High-level talks held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, saw U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov discussing the framework for future peace negotiations and steps toward restoring bilateral relations. The Trump administration’s approach, which prioritizes direct engagement with Moscow, marks a departure from longstanding principles that insisted on “nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine.” Critics in Kyiv have voiced strong opposition. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned that any agreement reached without Ukraine’s participation would be unacceptable and would undermine the nation’s sovereignty. European leaders echoed these concerns, with several officials labeling the move as a dangerous precedent that could lead to a “dirty deal...

Treasuries Extend Selloff Amid Hawkish Fed Views


The world’s largest bond market is experiencing continued turbulence as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) views persist. Here are the key points:

  1. Asian Stocks Under Pressure: Asian stocks are set to open lower after US shares extended their losing streak to the longest since January. Equity futures contracts in Japan, Hong Kong, and South Korea indicate early losses, while those in Australia and China gained. Investors will closely watch Asian chipmakers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Tokyo Electron Ltd.

  2. ASML Holding NV’s Warning: Europe’s most valuable tech firm, ASML Holding NV, reported a tumble in orders during the first quarter. Its China sales are likely to be hampered by US export control measures. This news has raised concerns for semiconductor stocks.

  3. US Bond Market: Despite solid economic readings, the US bond market faces headwinds. Jerome Powell’s recent comments have dampened rate-cut expectations. However, dip buyers emerged in the Treasury market, with two-year yields dropping below 5%. A $13 billion sale of 20-year bonds also drew solid demand.

  4. Investor Sentiment: Investors remain skeptical about how much further US stocks can rally after their strong performance in the first quarter. The latest pullback occurs even as US economic data point to continued strength.

  5. Dollar and Currencies: The dollar was little changed in Asia after falling for the first time in six days. Japanese yen and Korean won have also experienced significant declines against the dollar this year.

  6. Outlook: UBS Global Wealth Management expects the yield on the 10-year US Treasury to end the year around 3.85%. The Fed’s rate cuts, though delayed, are still anticipated, leading to further bond market adjustments.

In summary, the bond market remains sensitive to Fed communications, economic data, and global events. Investors should closely monitor developments as interest rates continue to be a focal point.


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