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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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U.S., Britain, and Australia Consider Expanding AUKUS Security Pact to Counter China’s Influence

 

The United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia are poised to engage in talks aimed at broadening their AUKUS security pact. This move comes as Washington advocates for Japan’s inclusion in the pact as a strategic measure against China’s growing assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific region.

The AUKUS pact, unveiled by the three nations in 2023, represents their collective efforts to curb China’s increasing influence. It encompasses joint initiatives related to quantum computing, undersea capabilities, hypersonic technology, artificial intelligence, and cyber advancements. These areas fall under the pact’s “pillar two” commitment.

The upcoming talks will explore the possibility of bringing new members into the AUKUS fold. While the first pillar of the pact focuses on delivering nuclear-powered attack submarines to Australia, the second pillar aims to foster technological collaboration among the member countries. Japan’s involvement is seen as crucial in countering China’s military buildup and territorial ambitions.

China has expressed concern over the AUKUS pact, labeling it as dangerous and warning of a potential arms race in the region. U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell emphasized that the AUKUS submarine project could serve as a deterrent against any Chinese aggression toward Taiwan, a democratically governed island that Beijing claims as part of its territory.

President Joe Biden has actively sought to strengthen partnerships with Asian allies, including Japan and the Philippines. His administration aims to bolster regional security and stability amid China’s geopolitical maneuvers. In the coming days, Biden will host Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida in Washington and convene a trilateral summit, which will also include Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.

As geopolitical dynamics continue to evolve, the international community closely watches how these diplomatic efforts unfold and their impact on the delicate balance in the Indo-Pacific theater.


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