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5 Things to Know Today: Inflation Data, a Tariff Countdown, and a Big Energy Deal

  August 17, 2026 Inflation data lands this morning, the clock on the U.S. tariff deadline is down to two days, and a long-running provincial energy dispute is about to be settled. Here's what's moving your money today. 1. Today's Inflation Report Could Set the Tone for September Statistics Canada releases July's Consumer Price Index this morning. Economists are expecting the annual rate to tick up to roughly 2.9%, from 2.8% in June, mainly because gasoline prices swung higher again in July after the Middle East conflict pushed oil prices back up. Core inflation measures, which the Bank of Canada watches most closely, aren't expected to move much. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print would make it less likely the Bank of Canada cuts rates at its September 2 meeting, which matters if you're renewing a variable-rate mortgage or carrying a line of credit. A softer number keeps a cut on the table. 2. The Tariff Deadline Is Two Days Away, and Talks Are...
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US Economy Surges: 303,000 Jobs Added in March, Exceeding Expectations

 

In a remarkable turn of events, the US economy added a whopping 303,000 jobs last month, far surpassing economists’ expectations. This surge marks the 39th consecutive month of job gains in the country.

Key Highlights:

  • Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate stands at 3.8%, reflecting a robust labor market.
  • Strong Hiring: Despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to cool inflation by raising interest rates, hiring remains surprisingly strong. Over the past 16 months, the Fed has gradually increased its benchmark interest rates from near zero to over 5%. However, recent rate hikes have been paused, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at potential rate cuts in response to perceived job market weakness.
  • ADP Report: Earlier this week, ADP—the largest private payroll company in the US—reported that businesses added 184,000 new positions in March, the highest rise since July last year.

The next rate decision by the Federal Reserve is scheduled for May. Powell emphasized the delicate balance between controlling inflation and supporting economic activity and employment. As he stated, “Reducing rates too soon or too much could result in a reversal in the progress we’ve seen on inflation. But easing policy too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity.”

The March employment report underscores the resilience of the US labor market, even amidst global uncertainties. As we move forward, all eyes remain on the delicate dance between monetary policy and economic growth.

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