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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...
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US Economy Surges: 303,000 Jobs Added in March, Exceeding Expectations

 

In a remarkable turn of events, the US economy added a whopping 303,000 jobs last month, far surpassing economists’ expectations. This surge marks the 39th consecutive month of job gains in the country.

Key Highlights:

  • Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate stands at 3.8%, reflecting a robust labor market.
  • Strong Hiring: Despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to cool inflation by raising interest rates, hiring remains surprisingly strong. Over the past 16 months, the Fed has gradually increased its benchmark interest rates from near zero to over 5%. However, recent rate hikes have been paused, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at potential rate cuts in response to perceived job market weakness.
  • ADP Report: Earlier this week, ADP—the largest private payroll company in the US—reported that businesses added 184,000 new positions in March, the highest rise since July last year.

The next rate decision by the Federal Reserve is scheduled for May. Powell emphasized the delicate balance between controlling inflation and supporting economic activity and employment. As he stated, “Reducing rates too soon or too much could result in a reversal in the progress we’ve seen on inflation. But easing policy too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity.”

The March employment report underscores the resilience of the US labor market, even amidst global uncertainties. As we move forward, all eyes remain on the delicate dance between monetary policy and economic growth.

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