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Bank of Canada Rate Decision: What to Expect on June 10

  On Wednesday, June 10, 2026 , the Bank of Canada will announce its next interest rate decision — and every Canadian with a mortgage, a savings account, or a variable-rate line of credit has good reason to pay attention. While a hold at the current 2.25% overnight rate is almost universally expected, the real story this month isn't the number itself. It's the language surrounding it. Canada's economy has slipped into what many are calling a technical recession, inflation is being pushed higher by a global energy shock, and economists are divided on where rates go from here. Here's everything you need to know before Wednesday's announcement. BoC Overnight Rate 2.25% Held since early 2026 Bank Prime Rate 4.45% Most major lenders April CPI Inflation 2.8% Up from 2.4% in March Hike Probability (Jun 10) ~4% Per bond markets Q1 2026 GDP Growth −0.1% Annualized; near-recession Where Things Stand: A Tricky Balancing Act The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2....
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US Economy Surges: 303,000 Jobs Added in March, Exceeding Expectations

 

In a remarkable turn of events, the US economy added a whopping 303,000 jobs last month, far surpassing economists’ expectations. This surge marks the 39th consecutive month of job gains in the country.

Key Highlights:

  • Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate stands at 3.8%, reflecting a robust labor market.
  • Strong Hiring: Despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to cool inflation by raising interest rates, hiring remains surprisingly strong. Over the past 16 months, the Fed has gradually increased its benchmark interest rates from near zero to over 5%. However, recent rate hikes have been paused, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at potential rate cuts in response to perceived job market weakness.
  • ADP Report: Earlier this week, ADP—the largest private payroll company in the US—reported that businesses added 184,000 new positions in March, the highest rise since July last year.

The next rate decision by the Federal Reserve is scheduled for May. Powell emphasized the delicate balance between controlling inflation and supporting economic activity and employment. As he stated, “Reducing rates too soon or too much could result in a reversal in the progress we’ve seen on inflation. But easing policy too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity.”

The March employment report underscores the resilience of the US labor market, even amidst global uncertainties. As we move forward, all eyes remain on the delicate dance between monetary policy and economic growth.

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