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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Wall Street Navigates Data Deluge: Job Market Insights Await

 

Wall Street treaded cautiously in premarket trading today, bracing for a deluge of data from the American job market. This week’s labor market reports could significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates as we approach spring.

Here are the key highlights:

  1. Preliminary Numbers: Futures for the S&P 500 slipped 0.3%, while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4% before the bell.

  2. Health Care Jitters: Health care companies faced headwinds after the government finalized reimbursement rates for Medicare Advantage health plan providers. Humana tumbled 10%, and CVS slid 5%, both grappling with rising costs.

  3. Retail Realities: PVH, the parent company of Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein, painted a somber picture for 2024 despite beating sales and profit targets. Specialty retailers are grappling with high expectations for the year ahead.

  4. Trump Media & Technology Group: Former President Donald Trump’s social media venture saw a nearly 3% decline in early trading after a significant drop in value on Monday.

  5. Economic Resilience: Despite the recent U.S. credit downgrade by Fitch Rating, the strong jobs data underscores the economy’s resilience. The July unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5%, a level not seen in over 50 years.

  6. Inflation Balancing Act: The Fed’s campaign to curb inflation continues, with 11 benchmark interest rate hikes. While the U.S. economy remains robust, inflation management remains a delicate dance.

  7. Global Markets: Hong Kong stocks led gains in Asian markets, while China’s real estate developer Vanke faced a notable 11.4% slump due to decreased core profit and no dividend payout.

As investors await the Fed’s next move, Wall Street remains on its toes, balancing economic indicators and corporate performance. Stay tuned for more updates as the week unfolds! 

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