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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Wall Street Navigates Data Deluge: Job Market Insights Await

 

Wall Street treaded cautiously in premarket trading today, bracing for a deluge of data from the American job market. This week’s labor market reports could significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates as we approach spring.

Here are the key highlights:

  1. Preliminary Numbers: Futures for the S&P 500 slipped 0.3%, while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4% before the bell.

  2. Health Care Jitters: Health care companies faced headwinds after the government finalized reimbursement rates for Medicare Advantage health plan providers. Humana tumbled 10%, and CVS slid 5%, both grappling with rising costs.

  3. Retail Realities: PVH, the parent company of Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein, painted a somber picture for 2024 despite beating sales and profit targets. Specialty retailers are grappling with high expectations for the year ahead.

  4. Trump Media & Technology Group: Former President Donald Trump’s social media venture saw a nearly 3% decline in early trading after a significant drop in value on Monday.

  5. Economic Resilience: Despite the recent U.S. credit downgrade by Fitch Rating, the strong jobs data underscores the economy’s resilience. The July unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5%, a level not seen in over 50 years.

  6. Inflation Balancing Act: The Fed’s campaign to curb inflation continues, with 11 benchmark interest rate hikes. While the U.S. economy remains robust, inflation management remains a delicate dance.

  7. Global Markets: Hong Kong stocks led gains in Asian markets, while China’s real estate developer Vanke faced a notable 11.4% slump due to decreased core profit and no dividend payout.

As investors await the Fed’s next move, Wall Street remains on its toes, balancing economic indicators and corporate performance. Stay tuned for more updates as the week unfolds! 

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