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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Wall Street Navigates Data Deluge: Job Market Insights Await

 

Wall Street treaded cautiously in premarket trading today, bracing for a deluge of data from the American job market. This week’s labor market reports could significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates as we approach spring.

Here are the key highlights:

  1. Preliminary Numbers: Futures for the S&P 500 slipped 0.3%, while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4% before the bell.

  2. Health Care Jitters: Health care companies faced headwinds after the government finalized reimbursement rates for Medicare Advantage health plan providers. Humana tumbled 10%, and CVS slid 5%, both grappling with rising costs.

  3. Retail Realities: PVH, the parent company of Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein, painted a somber picture for 2024 despite beating sales and profit targets. Specialty retailers are grappling with high expectations for the year ahead.

  4. Trump Media & Technology Group: Former President Donald Trump’s social media venture saw a nearly 3% decline in early trading after a significant drop in value on Monday.

  5. Economic Resilience: Despite the recent U.S. credit downgrade by Fitch Rating, the strong jobs data underscores the economy’s resilience. The July unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5%, a level not seen in over 50 years.

  6. Inflation Balancing Act: The Fed’s campaign to curb inflation continues, with 11 benchmark interest rate hikes. While the U.S. economy remains robust, inflation management remains a delicate dance.

  7. Global Markets: Hong Kong stocks led gains in Asian markets, while China’s real estate developer Vanke faced a notable 11.4% slump due to decreased core profit and no dividend payout.

As investors await the Fed’s next move, Wall Street remains on its toes, balancing economic indicators and corporate performance. Stay tuned for more updates as the week unfolds! 

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