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BoC Set to Hike Into a Weak Economy: What It Means for You

  Canadian Money Brief • Feature Monday, October 26, 2026 • Written ahead of the 9:45 a.m. ET decision on Wednesday, Oct. 28 The Bank of Canada is about to do something that looks backwards. Jobs are disappearing, the housing market is sluggish, and yet money markets and most economists expect the central bank to raise its key rate on Wednesday. If it happens, your budget gets squeezed from two directions at once: higher borrowing costs and a shakier job market. The short version • Expected move: +0.25 point to 2.50% on Oct. 28, up from 2.25% • Reuters poll: 56% of economists (19 of 34) call for a hike, and a majority see one more by end of March • Why now: energy-driven inflation (3.1% in September) and a bank worried it spreads • The catch: 68,300 jobs lost in September , unemployment at 6.5% Why would the bank hike when the economy is wobbling? Reuters reports the Bank of Canada is expected to raise its rate as a pre-emptive strike: the goal is to stop an oil-driven jump in p...
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Wall Street Navigates Data Deluge: Job Market Insights Await

 

Wall Street treaded cautiously in premarket trading today, bracing for a deluge of data from the American job market. This week’s labor market reports could significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates as we approach spring.

Here are the key highlights:

  1. Preliminary Numbers: Futures for the S&P 500 slipped 0.3%, while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4% before the bell.

  2. Health Care Jitters: Health care companies faced headwinds after the government finalized reimbursement rates for Medicare Advantage health plan providers. Humana tumbled 10%, and CVS slid 5%, both grappling with rising costs.

  3. Retail Realities: PVH, the parent company of Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein, painted a somber picture for 2024 despite beating sales and profit targets. Specialty retailers are grappling with high expectations for the year ahead.

  4. Trump Media & Technology Group: Former President Donald Trump’s social media venture saw a nearly 3% decline in early trading after a significant drop in value on Monday.

  5. Economic Resilience: Despite the recent U.S. credit downgrade by Fitch Rating, the strong jobs data underscores the economy’s resilience. The July unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5%, a level not seen in over 50 years.

  6. Inflation Balancing Act: The Fed’s campaign to curb inflation continues, with 11 benchmark interest rate hikes. While the U.S. economy remains robust, inflation management remains a delicate dance.

  7. Global Markets: Hong Kong stocks led gains in Asian markets, while China’s real estate developer Vanke faced a notable 11.4% slump due to decreased core profit and no dividend payout.

As investors await the Fed’s next move, Wall Street remains on its toes, balancing economic indicators and corporate performance. Stay tuned for more updates as the week unfolds! 

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