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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Wall Street Rebounds Amid Earnings Anticipation and Geopolitical Tensions


Coming off their worst week since October, Wall Street is showing signs of recovery as investors brace for a busy week of earnings reports and geopolitical developments. Here’s a snapshot of today’s market activity:

  1. Earnings Optimism: Futures for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.6% before the bell. Investors eagerly await data from the government’s latest retail sales figures and financial results from companies like Bank of America, United Airlines, and Netflix.

  2. Oil Prices Decline: Despite escalating tensions in the Middle East, oil prices fell. An attack late Saturday marked the first time Iran had ever launched a military assault on Israel. However, the precision and limited impact of Iran’s response suggest a strategic approach aimed at minimizing damage rather than escalating tensions. A barrel of benchmark U.S. oil declined to $84.96, while Brent crude, the international standard, lost ground at $89.77.

  3. Defense Contractors Surge: Nearly every sector showed gains early Monday, with defense contractors leading the way. Lockheed Martin rose by 1.8% before the bell.

  4. Apple’s iPhone Challenge: Apple shares ticked down slightly after a report revealed that the iPhone ranked second in phone deliveries during the first quarter, trailing behind Samsung. Concerns arise due to faltering iPhone sales in China and reports that the Chinese government may restrict its workers from buying iPhones.

  5. Global Markets: In Europe, Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 rose by 1%, while London’s FTSE 100 slipped marginally. In Asian trading, Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 dipped by 0.7%.

  6. Currency Trends: The U.S. dollar strengthened against the Japanese yen, reaching another 34-year high as investors sought safety amid uncertainty.

As the week unfolds, investors will closely monitor earnings reports, geopolitical developments, and economic indicators. The delicate balance between global tensions and corporate performance remains at the forefront of market dynamics.


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