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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Wall Street Rebounds Amid Earnings Anticipation and Geopolitical Tensions


Coming off their worst week since October, Wall Street is showing signs of recovery as investors brace for a busy week of earnings reports and geopolitical developments. Here’s a snapshot of today’s market activity:

  1. Earnings Optimism: Futures for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.6% before the bell. Investors eagerly await data from the government’s latest retail sales figures and financial results from companies like Bank of America, United Airlines, and Netflix.

  2. Oil Prices Decline: Despite escalating tensions in the Middle East, oil prices fell. An attack late Saturday marked the first time Iran had ever launched a military assault on Israel. However, the precision and limited impact of Iran’s response suggest a strategic approach aimed at minimizing damage rather than escalating tensions. A barrel of benchmark U.S. oil declined to $84.96, while Brent crude, the international standard, lost ground at $89.77.

  3. Defense Contractors Surge: Nearly every sector showed gains early Monday, with defense contractors leading the way. Lockheed Martin rose by 1.8% before the bell.

  4. Apple’s iPhone Challenge: Apple shares ticked down slightly after a report revealed that the iPhone ranked second in phone deliveries during the first quarter, trailing behind Samsung. Concerns arise due to faltering iPhone sales in China and reports that the Chinese government may restrict its workers from buying iPhones.

  5. Global Markets: In Europe, Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 rose by 1%, while London’s FTSE 100 slipped marginally. In Asian trading, Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 dipped by 0.7%.

  6. Currency Trends: The U.S. dollar strengthened against the Japanese yen, reaching another 34-year high as investors sought safety amid uncertainty.

As the week unfolds, investors will closely monitor earnings reports, geopolitical developments, and economic indicators. The delicate balance between global tensions and corporate performance remains at the forefront of market dynamics.


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