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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...
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Canada’s Inflation Rate Falls to 2.7% in April Amid Price Growth Slowdown

 

Canada’s annual inflation rate declined to 2.7 per cent in April, down from 2.9 per cent in March. This broad-based deceleration in price growth provides the Bank of Canada (BoC) with a potential “all clear” signal for a June rate cut.

Key Points:

  1. Food Prices, Services, and Durable Goods: The slowdown was led by food prices, services, and durable goods. These sectors experienced a moderation in price increases, contributing to the overall cooling of inflation.

  2. BoC’s Considerations: With inflation easing, the BoC may have more room to maneuver its monetary policy. A rate cut could stimulate economic activity and support recovery.

  3. Market Expectations: Analysts are closely watching the BoC’s next move. If the trend continues, a rate cut in June could be on the horizon.

Implications:

The decline in inflation suggests that the Canadian economy is stabilizing after a period of rapid price increases. While the BoC will carefully assess economic data, the recent cooling of inflation provides an opportunity for policy adjustments.

As always, market participants and consumers should stay informed about central bank decisions and their potential impact on borrowing costs, investments, and overall economic conditions.


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