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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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France and Belgium Support ICC Request for Arrest Warrants of Israel and Hamas Leaders

 

In a significant development, France and Belgium have publicly backed the International Criminal Court’s (ICC) request for arrest warrants for leaders of Israel and Hamas. The ICC’s chief prosecutor, Karim Khan, accused Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and three Hamas leaders—Yehya Sinwar, Mohammed Deif, and Ismail Haniyeh—of war crimes and crimes against humanity in the Gaza Strip and Israel.

While Netanyahu and Gallant are not currently facing imminent arrest, this announcement serves as a symbolic blow that deepens Israel’s isolation over the war in Gaza. The ongoing conflict has resulted in significant casualties, with at least 35,000 Palestinians losing their lives, and around 80% of the population—2.3 million Palestinians—being displaced within the territory.

The ICC’s decision to seek arrest warrants has drawn strong reactions. Netanyahu condemned it as “a moral outrage of historic proportions” while the court’s panel of three judges will now decide whether to issue the warrants and proceed with a case.

This development underscores the gravity of the situation and highlights the complex geopolitical dynamics surrounding the Israel-Hamas conflict. As the world watches, the ICC’s pursuit of justice remains a critical step in addressing alleged war crimes committed during the conflict.

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