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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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France and Belgium Support ICC Request for Arrest Warrants of Israel and Hamas Leaders

 

In a significant development, France and Belgium have publicly backed the International Criminal Court’s (ICC) request for arrest warrants for leaders of Israel and Hamas. The ICC’s chief prosecutor, Karim Khan, accused Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and three Hamas leaders—Yehya Sinwar, Mohammed Deif, and Ismail Haniyeh—of war crimes and crimes against humanity in the Gaza Strip and Israel.

While Netanyahu and Gallant are not currently facing imminent arrest, this announcement serves as a symbolic blow that deepens Israel’s isolation over the war in Gaza. The ongoing conflict has resulted in significant casualties, with at least 35,000 Palestinians losing their lives, and around 80% of the population—2.3 million Palestinians—being displaced within the territory.

The ICC’s decision to seek arrest warrants has drawn strong reactions. Netanyahu condemned it as “a moral outrage of historic proportions” while the court’s panel of three judges will now decide whether to issue the warrants and proceed with a case.

This development underscores the gravity of the situation and highlights the complex geopolitical dynamics surrounding the Israel-Hamas conflict. As the world watches, the ICC’s pursuit of justice remains a critical step in addressing alleged war crimes committed during the conflict.

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