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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Israel Increases Military Pressure in Northern Gaza: Tanks Enter Jabalia

 

In a significant escalation of the ongoing conflict, Israel has sent tanks into the eastern Jabalia area in the northern Gaza Strip. This move comes after a night of heavy aerial and ground bombardments, resulting in the loss of 19 lives and dozens of injuries. Here are the key points:

  1. Jabalia: The targeted area, Jabalia, is the largest of Gaza’s eight historic refugee camps, home to over 100,000 people. Most of its residents are descendants of Palestinians who were displaced during the 1948 Arab-Israeli war that led to the creation of the state of Israel.

  2. Hamas Military Capabilities: Israeli forces operating in Jabalia aim to prevent Hamas, which controls Gaza, from re-establishing its military capabilities there. Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari, Israel’s military spokesperson, stated that they are acting to eliminate any attempts by Hamas to rehabilitate its military infrastructre.

  3. Civilian Impact: The bombardments have not spared civilians. Saed, a resident of Jabalia, reported that the bombings have been relentless, even near schools housing displaced people. Families are forced to evacuate as the situation escalates.

  4. Other Areas: Israeli forces also targeted Gaza City’s Zeitoun district, where they killed around 30 Palestinian militants. Additionally, tanks re-entered Al-Zeitoun and Al-Sabra, suburbs of Gaza City, destroying several houses, including high-rise residential buildings.

  5. Deir Al-Balah: While tanks did not invade eastern Deir Al-Balah city, there was a gunfight with Hamas fighters on the outskirts. In a separate airstrike, two doctors—a father and his son—lost their lives.

  6. Palestinian Response: The armed wings of Hamas and Islamic Jihad attacked Israeli forces in various areas inside Gaza using anti-tank rockets and mortar bombsRafah, previously the Palestinians’ last refuge, witnessed intense fighting as more than a million people sought shelter there.

  7. War Origins: The conflict was triggered by a Hamas-led attack on southern Israel in October, resulting in significant casualties. Israel’s military operation in Gaza has now claimed the lives of nearly 35,000 Palestinians according to Gaza’s health ministry.

As the situation remains tense, the international community closely monitors developments in the region. The impact on civilians and the humanitarian crisis continue to be major concerns


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