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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Israel Rejects Ceasefire Proposal Accepted by Hamas as Rafah Invasion Looms

 

In a tense turn of events, Hamas has announced its acceptance of an Egyptian-Qatari proposal for a ceasefire to halt the seven-month-long war with Israel in Gaza. However, Israel remains skeptical and has not yet confirmed its agreement to the deal. The situation remains precarious as both sides grapple with their demands and the potential consequences of further military action.

The Ceasefire Proposal

The proposed ceasefire aims to bring an end to the ongoing conflict that has resulted in significant loss of life and displacement. While Hamas has welcomed the proposal, Israel has rejected it, citing concerns about the safety of its citizens and the need for a comprehensive solution. The proposal includes provisions for a full withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza and a cessation of hostilities.

Israel’s Stance

Israel maintains that it will continue military operations until Hamas is defeated and has expressed its intention to retain a security presence in Gaza3. The rejection of the ceasefire proposal underscores the deep-rooted tensions between the two parties and their differing visions for a peaceful resolution.

The Rafah Situation

Rafah, a city in southern Gaza, has become a focal point in the conflict. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have called for civilians in eastern Rafah to move toward an expanded humanitarian area, potentially signaling preparations for a ground invasion. However, President Joe Biden and other world leaders have repeatedly voiced opposition to such an invasion, warning of a spike in civilian casualties and a worsening humanitarian crisis. The population in Rafah has swelled to an estimated 1.4 million people following Israel’s offensive in Gaza in retaliation for Hamas’ attack on Israel and the taking of hostages.

The Way Forward

As the situation remains fluid, international leaders continue to engage in diplomatic efforts to find a resolution. CIA Director William Burns is set to travel to Israel for further hostage and ceasefire talks after discussions in the Qatari capital, Doha. The stakes are high, and the world watches closely as both sides weigh their options.


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