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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Israeli War Cabinet Member Threatens to Quit Unless There’s a New Gaza Plan


In a significant development, Benny Gantz, a popular centrist member of Israel’s three-member War Cabinet, has threatened to resign from the government if it doesn’t adopt a new plan for the war in Gaza within the next three weeks. This decision would leave Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu more reliant on far-right allies. The ongoing war has stretched for more than seven months, during which Israel has yet to achieve its stated goals of dismantling Hamas and securing the return of scores of hostages abducted during the militant group’s October 7 attack.

Gantz has outlined a six-point plan that includes the following key elements:

  1. Return of Hostages: Ensuring the safe return of the abducted hostages.
  2. Ending Hamas’ Rule: Aiming to dismantle Hamas’ control in Gaza.
  3. Demilitarizing Gaza: Reducing the military capabilities of armed groups in the region.
  4. International Administration of Civilian Affairs: Establishing an international body to oversee civilian affairs in Gaza, with cooperation from American, European, Arab, and Palestinian stakeholders.
  5. Efforts to Normalize Relations with Saudi Arabia: Seeking to improve diplomatic ties with Saudi Arabia.
  6. Widening Military Service: Expanding mandatory military service to include all Israelis.

Gantz has set a deadline of June 8 for the adoption of this plan. He warned, “If you choose the path of fanatics and lead the entire nation to the abyss — we will be forced to quit the government.” In response, Netanyahu criticized Gantz for issuing an ultimatum to him rather than to Hamas, dismissing the conditions as “euphemisms” for Israel’s defeat.

This development highlights the deepening divide within Israel’s leadership and underscores the challenges faced in achieving a resolution to the conflict in Gaza. As the situation continues to evolve, the world watches closely to see how these tensions will impact the region’s stability and prospects for peace.


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