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5 Things to Know Today — Fed Hikes, BoE Warns, and the TSX Is Bouncing Back

  The Fed's first rate hike since 2023 rocked markets Wednesday. Here's what it means for your wallet on Friday, September 18. Friday, September 18, 2026  |  moneysavings.ca 1 The Fed Hiked — First Time Since 2023 The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%–4.00% on Wednesday — the first hike since June 2023. Chair Kevin Warsh cited persistent inflation tied to elevated oil prices and a still-resilient economy, saying recent inflation readings hadn't improved enough to justify holding. The decision was unanimous. The updated dot plot signals one more potential hike by year-end, then a pause through 2027. Markets initially sold off, but U.S. futures are rebounding this morning as investors reframe the move as a sign the Fed is serious about getting inflation under control. 💡 What It Means for You A higher U.S. federal funds rate puts upward pressure on Canadian bond yields and mortgage rates. The BoC is already...
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Loonie Surges After Canada Job Gains Beat Expectations

 

In a surprising turn of events, Canada’s job market outperformed expectations, leading to a surge in the Canadian dollar (often referred to as the “loonie”). Here are the key highlights:

  • Job Gains: Canada added 90,000 jobs in April, surpassing economists’ estimates. The majority of these gains were in part-time positions.

  • Unemployment Rate: Despite the robust job gains, the unemployment rate remained steady at 6.1%.

  • Market Reaction: The loonie strengthened against the US dollar immediately after the release of the employment data. However, it later retraced some of those gains.

  • Rate Cut Speculation: Prior to the report, there were expectations of a potential rate cut by the Bank of Canada. However, the strong job numbers have led traders to pare odds of a June cut back to a coin toss.

While the headline figures are impressive, it’s essential to consider the broader context. Canada’s rapid population growth due to immigration has led to a persistent trend of job creation falling short of new working-age entrants. Additionally, wage growth remains subdued, which the central bank views favorably in terms of easing inflationary pressures.

As policymakers await the upcoming April inflation report, the decision on interest rates will likely hinge on any surprises in inflation data. If inflation remains in check, the Bank of Canada may still proceed with a rate cut in June. However, the overall labor market trend suggests a softening, which could influence their decision-making process.

In summary, while the loonie celebrates the positive employment figures, the central bank’s focus remains on inflation dynamics. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether monetary policy takes a more accommodative turn or maintains its current stance. 

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