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Gas Prices Are Finally Falling in Canada — Here's How Much You're Saving and What Comes Next

After weeks of painful price spikes driven by the U.S.-Iran conflict, Canadians are finally catching a break at the pump. The national average gas price dropped to 169.1 cents per litre on Monday, April 20 — down from a peak near 198 cents — as two things happened at once: Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and Prime Minister Mark Carney's federal fuel excise tax suspension came into effect. National Average 169.1¢/L ▼ Down from ~198¢/L peak Gas savings (excise tax) 10¢/L off gasoline until Sept. 7 Diesel savings 4¢/L off diesel until Sept. 7 WTI Crude (current) ~$87 ▼ Down from $120 peak What just happened — and why Since the U.S.-Iran conflict began in late February, Brent crude surged more than 55%, briefly topping $120 a barrel — the largest oil supply shock in the history of global markets, according to the Interna...
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Loonie Surges After Canada Job Gains Beat Expectations

 

In a surprising turn of events, Canada’s job market outperformed expectations, leading to a surge in the Canadian dollar (often referred to as the “loonie”). Here are the key highlights:

  • Job Gains: Canada added 90,000 jobs in April, surpassing economists’ estimates. The majority of these gains were in part-time positions.

  • Unemployment Rate: Despite the robust job gains, the unemployment rate remained steady at 6.1%.

  • Market Reaction: The loonie strengthened against the US dollar immediately after the release of the employment data. However, it later retraced some of those gains.

  • Rate Cut Speculation: Prior to the report, there were expectations of a potential rate cut by the Bank of Canada. However, the strong job numbers have led traders to pare odds of a June cut back to a coin toss.

While the headline figures are impressive, it’s essential to consider the broader context. Canada’s rapid population growth due to immigration has led to a persistent trend of job creation falling short of new working-age entrants. Additionally, wage growth remains subdued, which the central bank views favorably in terms of easing inflationary pressures.

As policymakers await the upcoming April inflation report, the decision on interest rates will likely hinge on any surprises in inflation data. If inflation remains in check, the Bank of Canada may still proceed with a rate cut in June. However, the overall labor market trend suggests a softening, which could influence their decision-making process.

In summary, while the loonie celebrates the positive employment figures, the central bank’s focus remains on inflation dynamics. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether monetary policy takes a more accommodative turn or maintains its current stance. 

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