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Territorial Disputes Dominate Geneva Peace Talks

US President Donald Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner, US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, US Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll sit before closed-door talks with Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Andriy Yermak  (not pictured) on ending Russia's war in Ukraine, at the US Mission in Geneva, Switzerland. Negotiators from Russia and Ukraine convened in Geneva for a new round of U.S.-mediated peace talks, with territorial disputes emerging as the central point of contention. The discussions, held over two days, come amid heightened pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump, who has urged Kyiv to “come to the table fast” in pursuit of a settlement.  Both sides remain deeply divided over land claims, which have become the primary obstacle to progress. The Kremlin has signaled that territorial issues will dominate the agenda, while Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has voiced concerns that Kyiv is facing disproportionate p...
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Loonie Surges After Canada Job Gains Beat Expectations

 

In a surprising turn of events, Canada’s job market outperformed expectations, leading to a surge in the Canadian dollar (often referred to as the “loonie”). Here are the key highlights:

  • Job Gains: Canada added 90,000 jobs in April, surpassing economists’ estimates. The majority of these gains were in part-time positions.

  • Unemployment Rate: Despite the robust job gains, the unemployment rate remained steady at 6.1%.

  • Market Reaction: The loonie strengthened against the US dollar immediately after the release of the employment data. However, it later retraced some of those gains.

  • Rate Cut Speculation: Prior to the report, there were expectations of a potential rate cut by the Bank of Canada. However, the strong job numbers have led traders to pare odds of a June cut back to a coin toss.

While the headline figures are impressive, it’s essential to consider the broader context. Canada’s rapid population growth due to immigration has led to a persistent trend of job creation falling short of new working-age entrants. Additionally, wage growth remains subdued, which the central bank views favorably in terms of easing inflationary pressures.

As policymakers await the upcoming April inflation report, the decision on interest rates will likely hinge on any surprises in inflation data. If inflation remains in check, the Bank of Canada may still proceed with a rate cut in June. However, the overall labor market trend suggests a softening, which could influence their decision-making process.

In summary, while the loonie celebrates the positive employment figures, the central bank’s focus remains on inflation dynamics. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether monetary policy takes a more accommodative turn or maintains its current stance. 

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