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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Sour Cream Coffee Cake with Cinnamon-Walnut Swirl

 

This rich and buttery coffee cake features a sublime cinnamon-nut swirl, making it a classic breakfast treat. The contrasting flavors and crunch of the swirl elevate this cake to a whole new level. 

Ingredients:

  • 1 cup walnuts, toasted and chopped
  • 1 cup brown sugar
  • 2 teaspoons ground cinnamon
  • 2 cups all-purpose flour
  • 1 teaspoon baking soda
  • 1/2 teaspoon salt
  • 1 cup granulated sugar
  • 1/2 cup unsalted butter, softened
  • 3 large eggs
  • 1 cup sour cream
  • 1 teaspoon vanilla extract

Instructions:

  1. Prepare the Cinnamon-Walnut Swirl:

    • Preheat the oven to 325°F (163°C) and set an oven rack in the middle position.
    • Toast the walnuts on a rimmed baking sheet until fragrant and golden brown (about 10 to 15 minutes). Let them cool, then reduce the oven temperature to 300°F (149°C).
    • In a small bowl, combine the toasted walnuts, brown sugar, and ground cinnamon. Mix until well combined, then set aside.
  2. Make the Cake Batter:

    • In another bowl, whisk together the flour, baking soda, and salt. Set aside.
    • In the bowl of an electric mixer fitted with the paddle attachment (or beaters), combine the granulated sugar and softened butter. Beat on medium speed until pale and fluffy (about 3 minutes).
    • Add the eggs one at a time, beating well after each addition until the mixture is homogenous.
    • On low speed, mix in the sour cream and vanilla. The batter may look a little curdled at this point, but that’s okay.
    • Scrape down the sides and bottom of the bowl to ensure all ingredients are evenly incorporated.
    • Gradually add the flour mixture and mix on low speed until the batter is smooth and homogeneous.
  3. Layer the Batter and Swirl:

    • Scoop 1/3 of the batter into a prepared pan (even if it seems like not enough, especially if using a 12-cup Bundt pan).
    • Sprinkle half of the cinnamon-walnut mixture evenly over the batter.
    • Cover with another 1/3 of the remaining batter, spreading it evenly over the pan and to the edges.
    • Sprinkle the remaining nut mixture evenly over the batter.
    • Finally, cover with the remaining batter, spreading it evenly over the nut mixture.
  4. Bake:

    • Bake for 65 to 75 minutes, or until a cake tester comes out clean.
  5. Enjoy!

    • Let the cake cool in the pan for about 15 minutes, then transfer it to a wire rack to cool completely.
    • Slice and savor the deliciousness!

This coffee cake is so good that it can be stored in a covered container on the countertop for up to two weeks.

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