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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Stock Market Today: Rising Treasury Yields Unsettle Investors


In today’s stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) took the lead in a slide prompted by rising Treasury yields. Investors are grappling with the impact of recent data on interest rates, and the benchmark S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also dipped into the red.

Here are the key points:

  1. Treasury Yields Surge: The yield on 5-year Treasurys rose to near four-week highs, while the 10-year yield topped the critical 4.5% level. On Wednesday, the benchmark yield inched up further to trade around 4.57%. These rising yields have raised concerns that the Federal Reserve may keep rates higher for longer.

  2. AI Growth vs. Yield Worries: Despite hopes for AI growth, concerns about bond yields appear to be overshadowing the market. The Nasdaq recently hit a record high following Nvidia’s post-earnings rally, but the surge in yields is causing uncertainty.

  3. Consumer Confidence and Fed Policymaking: Investors are trying to decipher the impact of stronger-than-expected consumer confidence data on Fed policymaking. However, they are bracing for a prolonged wait for any pivot to rate cuts, given the litany of warnings from Fed officials.

  4. Wall Street Strategists’ Views: Wall Street strategists have been closely monitoring rising yields. Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler, highlighted that higher rates are now a systemic problem for equities. If the 10-year Treasury yield surpasses 5%, it could spell trouble for most stocks.

  5. Beige Book and Inflation Gauge: The release of the Fed’s Beige Book later today could shed more light on economic conditions. Investors are also awaiting Friday’s reading on PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures), the central bank’s preferred inflation gauge.

In summary, rising Treasury yields are causing jitters in the stock market, and investors are closely watching Fed signals and economic data. The delicate balance between growth prospects and interest rate concerns remains a focal point for traders.


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