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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Stock Market Today: Rising Treasury Yields Unsettle Investors


In today’s stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) took the lead in a slide prompted by rising Treasury yields. Investors are grappling with the impact of recent data on interest rates, and the benchmark S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also dipped into the red.

Here are the key points:

  1. Treasury Yields Surge: The yield on 5-year Treasurys rose to near four-week highs, while the 10-year yield topped the critical 4.5% level. On Wednesday, the benchmark yield inched up further to trade around 4.57%. These rising yields have raised concerns that the Federal Reserve may keep rates higher for longer.

  2. AI Growth vs. Yield Worries: Despite hopes for AI growth, concerns about bond yields appear to be overshadowing the market. The Nasdaq recently hit a record high following Nvidia’s post-earnings rally, but the surge in yields is causing uncertainty.

  3. Consumer Confidence and Fed Policymaking: Investors are trying to decipher the impact of stronger-than-expected consumer confidence data on Fed policymaking. However, they are bracing for a prolonged wait for any pivot to rate cuts, given the litany of warnings from Fed officials.

  4. Wall Street Strategists’ Views: Wall Street strategists have been closely monitoring rising yields. Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler, highlighted that higher rates are now a systemic problem for equities. If the 10-year Treasury yield surpasses 5%, it could spell trouble for most stocks.

  5. Beige Book and Inflation Gauge: The release of the Fed’s Beige Book later today could shed more light on economic conditions. Investors are also awaiting Friday’s reading on PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures), the central bank’s preferred inflation gauge.

In summary, rising Treasury yields are causing jitters in the stock market, and investors are closely watching Fed signals and economic data. The delicate balance between growth prospects and interest rate concerns remains a focal point for traders.


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