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Markets Slip as U.S.–Iran Standoff Deepens and Risk Sentiment Weakens

  North American markets opened the week under pressure as renewed U.S.–Iran tensions rattled global risk sentiment. Major indexes across Canada and the U.S. slipped, with investors shifting toward defensive sectors and safe‑haven assets. The latest escalation — including heightened military posturing and stalled diplomatic channels — pushed oil prices higher and injected fresh volatility into energy markets. While rising crude typically supports Canadian producers, the broader uncertainty weighed on equities, particularly in rate‑sensitive and cyclical sectors. Bond yields edged lower as investors sought safety, and the Canadian dollar softened slightly against the U.S. dollar, reflecting a cautious tone across global markets. For Canadian investors, the key risk remains prolonged geopolitical instability feeding into energy prices, inflation expectations, and central‑bank policy paths. Until tensions ease, markets are likely to remain headline‑driven and choppy.

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Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Breaches 5,300 as Stocks Rally to Records After CPI

 


U.S. stocks rallied on Wednesday, with all three major indexes closing at record highs. A soft reading on consumer prices fueled hopes that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates sooner than expected.
  • The S&P 500 rose nearly 1.2%, closing at 5,308.18, above 5,300 for the first time ever.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped about 0.9%, creeping closer toward the 40,000 level.
  • The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed about 1.4%, notching its second record close in as many days.

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% over the previous month and 3.4% over the prior year in April, a deceleration from March. “Core” inflation, which strips out the cost of food and gas, also cooled. This relatively cool inflation reading led the 10-year Treasury yield to fall 4.35%, its lowest level in a month, and sparked new bets on Fed rate cuts as soon as September. Around 70% of traders now expect at least one cut by the September meeting, a notable increase from a week ago.

Stocks have ground higher amid rekindled confidence that the U.S. economy is in good enough shape for the Federal Reserve to start bringing down rates from their current historic highs. That optimism has fueled a resurgence in bullishness in the market.

Elsewhere on the macroeconomic front, retail sales fell flat last month, coming in well short of Wall Street’s expectations.

In summary, the stock market continues to surge, and investors are closely watching inflation data and Fed policy decisions.


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