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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Trump’s Stormy Waters: How a Porn Star’s Story Rocked the 2016 Campaign

In a dramatic courtroom revelation, Michael Cohen, Donald Trump’s former fixer, testified that the ex-president’s anger over porn star Stormy Daniels’ story was “all about the campaign.” Let’s delve into the details of this scandal and its impact on the 2016 presidential race.

1. Stormy Daniels’ Allegations: Stormy Daniels, an adult film actress, claimed that she had a sexual encounter with Trump in 2006, shortly after his marriage to Melania. In 2016, as Trump geared up for his presidential campaign, Daniels threatened to go public with her story. Cohen, who was deeply entrenched in Trump’s inner circle, became the point person for handling this potential crisis.

2. Trump’s Concerns: Cohen testified that Trump was acutely aware of the damage Daniels’ allegations could cause. He reportedly told Cohen, “Women are gonna hate me.” Trump anticipated that multiple women might come forward with similar stories during the campaign, potentially tarnishing his image and alienating female voters.

3. Hush Money Payments: To prevent Daniels from going public, Cohen orchestrated a hush money payment of $130,000 to her just before the 2016 election. The payment was intended to buy her silence and protect Trump’s campaign prospects. However, this strategy backfired when the payment came under scrutiny, leading to legal troubles for both Cohen and Trump.

4. Trump’s Defense Strategy: Throughout the trial, Trump’s defense team argued that the hush money was solely about protecting his family relationships. They claimed it had nothing to do with the campaign. However, Cohen’s testimony directly contradicted this narrative, revealing that Trump’s primary concern was the potential impact on his political aspirations.

5. Catastrophic Fallout: Cohen described Trump’s reaction to Daniels’ story as catastrophic for the campaign. The fear of losing female voters and damaging his public image weighed heavily on Trump’s mind. The scandal threatened to overshadow his policy positions and derail his bid for the presidency.

6. The Verdict: As the trial unfolds, the jury must decide whether Trump’s actions constituted campaign finance violations. The case hinges on whether the hush money payments were made to protect Trump’s political interests or merely to shield his personal life.

In summary, the Stormy Daniels saga became a defining moment in the 2016 campaign, exposing the delicate balance between personal indiscretions and political ambitions. Trump’s anger over the porn star’s story reverberated far beyond the courtroom, leaving an indelible mark on American politics

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