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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Day, Fed, Loonie, Tariff Talks and OAS Boost

  Canadian Money Brief 5 Things to Know Today Wednesday, October 28, 2026 It’s a heavy day for Canadian wallets. The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision this morning, the U.S. Fed follows this afternoon, tariff talks are heating up, and bigger OAS deposits land in bank accounts. Here’s what to know. 1 The Bank of Canada decides this morning — a hike is widely expected The decision lands at 9:45 a.m. ET, along with a new Monetary Policy Report. Markets and economists expect a quarter-point increase to 2.50% from 2.25%, which would be the first hike since July 2023. Nineteen of 34 economists in a Reuters poll called for the move, and investors were pricing roughly a 75% chance on Tuesday. The case for it: inflation hit 3.1% in September, driven almost entirely by energy, even as core measures eased below 2%. What it means for you A hike would likely lift prime rates quickly, so variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs feel it first. Roughly, 0.25 points adds about $250 a year per $...

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TSX Futures Subdued as Commodity Prices Weigh on Investor Optimism


In the premarket trading, futures for Canada’s main stock index remained subdued due to a decline in commodity prices. Despite optimism following the index nearing a record high in the previous session, lower commodity prices have tempered expectations. Let’s dive into the details.

The S&P/TSX composite index on the Toronto Stock Exchange had recently reached its highest level in four weeks. This rally was triggered by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to leave its key interest rate unchanged at its last meeting, coupled with indications that the next move would likely be a rate cut.

However, commodities took a hit. Both precious and base metals saw price declines, partly due to a stronger U.S. dollar, which made commodities relatively more expensive. Oil prices also fell, driven by industry data showing an accumulation of crude and fuel inventories in the U.S. Additionally, cautious supply expectations ahead of an OPEC+ policy meeting contributed to the decline in oil prices.

Investors are closely monitoring employment data for April in Canada and weekly jobless claims in the U.S. for further insights. Meanwhile, Suncor Energy, the second-largest oil producer in Canada, beat first-quarter profit estimates, supported by robust demand for refined products and record oil sands production.

In summary, while optimism persists, the drag from sliding commodity prices is keeping TSX futures in check. Investors are navigating this delicate balance as they await economic data and corporate earnings reports.


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