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Bank of Canada Holds at 2.25% — Again: What It Means for Your Mortgage and Markets Today

  Wednesday, June 10, 2026  |  Canadian Money Brief It's official: the Bank of Canada held its overnight rate steady at 2.25% this morning — the fourth consecutive hold in 2026 , following identical decisions in January, March, and April. The move was widely anticipated, but the language in today's statement and Governor Tiff Macklem's 10:30 a.m. press conference are delivering the real signal: the BoC is watching the Middle East conflict carefully, is not yet alarmed by inflation, but is making clear that rate hikes remain on the table if energy prices push inflation higher. Here's the full picture — BoC reaction, Canadian markets, Wall Street, oil, and global moves. 🏦 Bank of Canada: Holds at 2.25% — But With a Warning The Bank of Canada's statement this morning was brief but pointed. The Governing Council noted that "economic activity in Canada has been weak and uncertainty about US trade policy persists," while also flagging that "the conflict ...

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TSX Futures Subdued as Commodity Prices Weigh on Investor Optimism


In the premarket trading, futures for Canada’s main stock index remained subdued due to a decline in commodity prices. Despite optimism following the index nearing a record high in the previous session, lower commodity prices have tempered expectations. Let’s dive into the details.

The S&P/TSX composite index on the Toronto Stock Exchange had recently reached its highest level in four weeks. This rally was triggered by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to leave its key interest rate unchanged at its last meeting, coupled with indications that the next move would likely be a rate cut.

However, commodities took a hit. Both precious and base metals saw price declines, partly due to a stronger U.S. dollar, which made commodities relatively more expensive. Oil prices also fell, driven by industry data showing an accumulation of crude and fuel inventories in the U.S. Additionally, cautious supply expectations ahead of an OPEC+ policy meeting contributed to the decline in oil prices.

Investors are closely monitoring employment data for April in Canada and weekly jobless claims in the U.S. for further insights. Meanwhile, Suncor Energy, the second-largest oil producer in Canada, beat first-quarter profit estimates, supported by robust demand for refined products and record oil sands production.

In summary, while optimism persists, the drag from sliding commodity prices is keeping TSX futures in check. Investors are navigating this delicate balance as they await economic data and corporate earnings reports.


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