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CMHC Just Cut Its Housing Forecast — What It Means If You're Buying, Selling, or Renewing

  Published July 28, 2026 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation quietly downgraded its outlook for the rest of 2026 last week, and the new numbers are worth a look no matter which side of the housing market you're standing on. The federal housing agency's Summer 2026 update now calls for slower growth, softer home prices, fewer new builds and continued easing in rental markets right through the end of the year — with a split that leaves Ontario and B.C. looking a lot different from the Prairies and Quebec. Here's what's actually in the update, and what it means for your specific situation. What CMHC changed The agency's baseline call for 2026 is a Canadian economy growing at just 0.7%, with high borrowing costs, weak population growth and cautious buyers keeping a lid on demand even as affordability has technically improved. The practical result, nationally: Housing starts are expected to fall to about 241,400 units this year, down from 259,028 in 2025 Resale acti...

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TSX Futures Subdued as Commodity Prices Weigh on Investor Optimism


In the premarket trading, futures for Canada’s main stock index remained subdued due to a decline in commodity prices. Despite optimism following the index nearing a record high in the previous session, lower commodity prices have tempered expectations. Let’s dive into the details.

The S&P/TSX composite index on the Toronto Stock Exchange had recently reached its highest level in four weeks. This rally was triggered by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to leave its key interest rate unchanged at its last meeting, coupled with indications that the next move would likely be a rate cut.

However, commodities took a hit. Both precious and base metals saw price declines, partly due to a stronger U.S. dollar, which made commodities relatively more expensive. Oil prices also fell, driven by industry data showing an accumulation of crude and fuel inventories in the U.S. Additionally, cautious supply expectations ahead of an OPEC+ policy meeting contributed to the decline in oil prices.

Investors are closely monitoring employment data for April in Canada and weekly jobless claims in the U.S. for further insights. Meanwhile, Suncor Energy, the second-largest oil producer in Canada, beat first-quarter profit estimates, supported by robust demand for refined products and record oil sands production.

In summary, while optimism persists, the drag from sliding commodity prices is keeping TSX futures in check. Investors are navigating this delicate balance as they await economic data and corporate earnings reports.


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