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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Turbulent Times: The Middle East After Raisi’s Tragic Demise

 


The recent death of Iran’s president, Ebrahim Raisi, in a helicopter crash on a remote mountainside adds to the already fraught situation in the Middle East. Here are some key points to consider:

  1. Israel-Hamas Conflict: Israel’s war against Hamas has escalated tensions across the region. The humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza over the last seven months has drawn global attention and condemnation. This conflict has also brought the longstanding shadow war between Iran and Israel into the open.

  2. Proxy War: While direct strikes between Iran and Israel have temporarily ceased, the proxy war continues. Iran-backed militias like Hamas and Hezbollah continue to engage in hostilities with Israel’s forces.

  3. Domestic Unrest in Iran: Iran’s hardline leadership faces challenges at home. Recent popular dissent, triggered by years of US-led sanctions and worsened economic conditions, has led to demonstrations against clerical rule. Human rights violations have been reported, and opposition to religious leadership remains entrenched among many Iranians, especially the youth.

  4. Raisi’s Presidency: Ebrahim Raisi, a former hardline judiciary chief, was elected president in 2021. His victory signaled a shift toward a harder-line era in Iran. However, voter turnout was low, reflecting discontent with the political elite’s engineered election process.

  5. War Crimes Warrants: The International Criminal Court (ICC) is seeking war crimes warrants for Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. These warrants relate to attacks on Israel and subsequent events.

In summary, the Middle East faces complex challenges, including ongoing conflicts, domestic unrest, and international legal scrutiny. The death of Iran’s president adds another layer of uncertainty to an 

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