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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Turbulent Times: The Middle East After Raisi’s Tragic Demise

 


The recent death of Iran’s president, Ebrahim Raisi, in a helicopter crash on a remote mountainside adds to the already fraught situation in the Middle East. Here are some key points to consider:

  1. Israel-Hamas Conflict: Israel’s war against Hamas has escalated tensions across the region. The humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza over the last seven months has drawn global attention and condemnation. This conflict has also brought the longstanding shadow war between Iran and Israel into the open.

  2. Proxy War: While direct strikes between Iran and Israel have temporarily ceased, the proxy war continues. Iran-backed militias like Hamas and Hezbollah continue to engage in hostilities with Israel’s forces.

  3. Domestic Unrest in Iran: Iran’s hardline leadership faces challenges at home. Recent popular dissent, triggered by years of US-led sanctions and worsened economic conditions, has led to demonstrations against clerical rule. Human rights violations have been reported, and opposition to religious leadership remains entrenched among many Iranians, especially the youth.

  4. Raisi’s Presidency: Ebrahim Raisi, a former hardline judiciary chief, was elected president in 2021. His victory signaled a shift toward a harder-line era in Iran. However, voter turnout was low, reflecting discontent with the political elite’s engineered election process.

  5. War Crimes Warrants: The International Criminal Court (ICC) is seeking war crimes warrants for Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. These warrants relate to attacks on Israel and subsequent events.

In summary, the Middle East faces complex challenges, including ongoing conflicts, domestic unrest, and international legal scrutiny. The death of Iran’s president adds another layer of uncertainty to an 

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