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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Wall Street Rallies on Strong Earnings Ahead of Labor Market Data

 


In today’s financial news, Wall Street experienced gains as corporate earnings surpassed expectations, setting a positive tone ahead of the release of more labor market data. Investors showed optimism as futures for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose, indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend in the stock market.

Key Market Movements:

  • S&P 500 Surge: Futures for the S&P 500 saw a significant surge, increasing by 0.5%.
  • Dow Jones Uptick: The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also experienced a rise, climbing 0.4% higher.
  • European Markets Mixed: Amidst a busy day for corporate earnings, European markets opened with mixed results.

Investor Sentiment: The positive shift in investor sentiment can be attributed to the strong corporate earnings reports, which have provided a boost to the market. This comes despite the Federal Reserve’s decision to delay cuts to interest rates, which had initially caused some uncertainty among traders.

Looking Forward: As the market anticipates more labor market data, the focus remains on the economic indicators that could influence the Federal Reserve’s future decisions on interest rates. The financial community is closely monitoring these developments, which could have significant implications for investment strategies and the broader economy.

In conclusion, the stock market today reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook, buoyed by robust earnings and the anticipation of forthcoming labor market information.

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