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Thanksgiving Dinner Costs 10% More. So Why Is Grocery Inflation Only 2.8%?

  Thanksgiving is tomorrow, and if you're still planning the grocery run, the numbers are not in your favour. Dalhousie University's Agri-Food Analytics Lab prices a turkey dinner for four at $35.72 this year, up 10% from $32.48 in 2025. Here's the catch: Statistics Canada says grocery prices rose just 2.8% in August, and that was the first time in more than two years that food inflation came in below the overall rate (3.0%). So why does the holiday table feel so much pricier than the grocery aisle overall? The turkey is doing most of the damage Dalhousie's basket covers a 7-lb whole turkey plus potatoes, carrots, dinner rolls, pumpkin pie, cranberries, stuffing and gravy. Here's how the pieces moved: Item (dinner for four) 2025 2026 Change Turkey dinner, total $32.48 $35.72 +10.0% The turkey itself (7 lb) $10.43 $12.53 +20.1% Everything else (sides, pie) $22.05 $23.19 +5.2% Ham dinner, total $34.87 $36.37 +4.3% Source: Dalhousie Agri-Food Analytics Lab (totals, t...
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Bank of Canada Considered Waiting Until July to Cut Rates

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Bank of Canada officials recently discussed whether to delay interest rate cuts until July. Their primary concern was confirming that inflation remains on track to reach the central bank’s 2% target. Ultimately, the governing council decided to cut the policy rate to 4.75% at their June 5 meeting. This move followed four consecutive months of slowing underlying price pressures, which they deemed sufficient progress to warrant the rate reduction.

While policymakers acknowledged the possibility of further rate cuts if inflation continues to ease, they emphasized a gradual approach. The bank’s dependence on data was evident, as they considered waiting until July before making a decision. Additionally, they discussed the potential divergence of Canada’s interest rate path from that of the US, noting that expectations of different policy outlooks could impact the exchange rate.

In summary, the Bank of Canada’s decision reflects a delicate balance between economic indicators and the need for cautious monetary policy adjustments. As they continue to monitor inflation and economic growth, future rate cuts will depend on further disinflation momentum and evolving market conditions.

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