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5 Things to Know Today: Canada’s Money Headlines

1. Bank of Canada expected to hold rates amid Iran‑war price pressures The Bank of Canada is preparing its next rate decision, with policymakers weighing inflation risks tied to the Iran conflict. Markets expect a hold as the Bank releases its new monetary policy report this week.  2. Oil & energy costs rise as global uncertainty persists Oil prices climbed more than US$2.50 as geopolitical tensions continue to influence global supply expectations. Canadian producers are also facing scrutiny, including Cenovus’s Newfoundland oilfield extension, which is projected to increase emissions by 21%. 3. Inflation pressures remain elevated for Canadian households Canada’s annual inflation rate rose to 2.4% in March , driven largely by higher gas prices. Rising costs continue to squeeze consumers, with food and essentials remaining stubbornly expensive.  4. Retail sales slow as Canadians pull back New data shows retail sales growth is losing momentum as households tighten bu...
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Bank of Canada Considered Waiting Until July to Cut Rates

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Bank of Canada officials recently discussed whether to delay interest rate cuts until July. Their primary concern was confirming that inflation remains on track to reach the central bank’s 2% target. Ultimately, the governing council decided to cut the policy rate to 4.75% at their June 5 meeting. This move followed four consecutive months of slowing underlying price pressures, which they deemed sufficient progress to warrant the rate reduction.

While policymakers acknowledged the possibility of further rate cuts if inflation continues to ease, they emphasized a gradual approach. The bank’s dependence on data was evident, as they considered waiting until July before making a decision. Additionally, they discussed the potential divergence of Canada’s interest rate path from that of the US, noting that expectations of different policy outlooks could impact the exchange rate.

In summary, the Bank of Canada’s decision reflects a delicate balance between economic indicators and the need for cautious monetary policy adjustments. As they continue to monitor inflation and economic growth, future rate cuts will depend on further disinflation momentum and evolving market conditions.

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