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TSX Eyes Gains as Trump-Xi Summit Looms and Oil Steadies Near $95

Canadian Money Brief · Monday, May 11, 2026 Canadian equities are set for a cautious but constructive open this Monday as investors balance a packed macro calendar against an energy sector still reeling from one of its most volatile weeks in recent memory. TSX at a Glance The S&P/TSX Composite closed Friday at 34,077.76 , up 221 points (+0.65%) to cap a week dominated by whipsaw oil moves and a fragile Middle East ceasefire. The energy sector has led TSX gains over the past seven days — up roughly 5% — even as WTI crude fell about 7% on the week, settling near $95.42 per barrel . That apparent contradiction reflects Canadian producers' longer-term optimism on supply tightness rather than any single day's price swing. For the year, the TSX is up approximately 35%, outpacing most major global benchmarks. The Big Story: Trump Heads to Beijing All eyes this week will be on Washington and Beijing. President Donald Trump is scheduled to arrive in China on Wednesday , with formal ...
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Bank of Canada Considered Waiting Until July to Cut Rates

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Bank of Canada officials recently discussed whether to delay interest rate cuts until July. Their primary concern was confirming that inflation remains on track to reach the central bank’s 2% target. Ultimately, the governing council decided to cut the policy rate to 4.75% at their June 5 meeting. This move followed four consecutive months of slowing underlying price pressures, which they deemed sufficient progress to warrant the rate reduction.

While policymakers acknowledged the possibility of further rate cuts if inflation continues to ease, they emphasized a gradual approach. The bank’s dependence on data was evident, as they considered waiting until July before making a decision. Additionally, they discussed the potential divergence of Canada’s interest rate path from that of the US, noting that expectations of different policy outlooks could impact the exchange rate.

In summary, the Bank of Canada’s decision reflects a delicate balance between economic indicators and the need for cautious monetary policy adjustments. As they continue to monitor inflation and economic growth, future rate cuts will depend on further disinflation momentum and evolving market conditions.

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