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Bank of Canada Holds at 2.25% — Again: What It Means for Your Mortgage and Markets Today

  Wednesday, June 10, 2026  |  Canadian Money Brief It's official: the Bank of Canada held its overnight rate steady at 2.25% this morning — the fourth consecutive hold in 2026 , following identical decisions in January, March, and April. The move was widely anticipated, but the language in today's statement and Governor Tiff Macklem's 10:30 a.m. press conference are delivering the real signal: the BoC is watching the Middle East conflict carefully, is not yet alarmed by inflation, but is making clear that rate hikes remain on the table if energy prices push inflation higher. Here's the full picture — BoC reaction, Canadian markets, Wall Street, oil, and global moves. 🏦 Bank of Canada: Holds at 2.25% — But With a Warning The Bank of Canada's statement this morning was brief but pointed. The Governing Council noted that "economic activity in Canada has been weak and uncertainty about US trade policy persists," while also flagging that "the conflict ...

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Bank of Canada Considered Waiting Until July to Cut Rates

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Bank of Canada officials recently discussed whether to delay interest rate cuts until July. Their primary concern was confirming that inflation remains on track to reach the central bank’s 2% target. Ultimately, the governing council decided to cut the policy rate to 4.75% at their June 5 meeting. This move followed four consecutive months of slowing underlying price pressures, which they deemed sufficient progress to warrant the rate reduction.

While policymakers acknowledged the possibility of further rate cuts if inflation continues to ease, they emphasized a gradual approach. The bank’s dependence on data was evident, as they considered waiting until July before making a decision. Additionally, they discussed the potential divergence of Canada’s interest rate path from that of the US, noting that expectations of different policy outlooks could impact the exchange rate.

In summary, the Bank of Canada’s decision reflects a delicate balance between economic indicators and the need for cautious monetary policy adjustments. As they continue to monitor inflation and economic growth, future rate cuts will depend on further disinflation momentum and evolving market conditions.

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