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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Beijing’s Meddling: Canada’s Democracy Faces Unprecedented Threats

 

Canada’s former ambassador to China, Guy Saint-Jacques, has issued a stark warning: Beijing’s interference in Canada’s democracy is more severe than ever. A recent report from the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) alleges that sitting federal politicians are “witting” participants in foreign interference schemes. Despite these bombshell allegations, the government has yet to reveal their identities, citing intelligence concerns. Saint-Jacques emphasizes the need for a tougher approach, suggesting that evidence-based punishment should be applied where possible. Additionally, the proposed Bill C-70 aims to address foreign interference, but its implementation timeline remains uncertain. As Canada grapples with these challenges, safeguarding democratic processes becomes paramount.


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