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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Beijing’s Meddling: Canada’s Democracy Faces Unprecedented Threats

 

Canada’s former ambassador to China, Guy Saint-Jacques, has issued a stark warning: Beijing’s interference in Canada’s democracy is more severe than ever. A recent report from the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) alleges that sitting federal politicians are “witting” participants in foreign interference schemes. Despite these bombshell allegations, the government has yet to reveal their identities, citing intelligence concerns. Saint-Jacques emphasizes the need for a tougher approach, suggesting that evidence-based punishment should be applied where possible. Additionally, the proposed Bill C-70 aims to address foreign interference, but its implementation timeline remains uncertain. As Canada grapples with these challenges, safeguarding democratic processes becomes paramount.


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