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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Beijing’s Meddling: Canada’s Democracy Faces Unprecedented Threats

 

Canada’s former ambassador to China, Guy Saint-Jacques, has issued a stark warning: Beijing’s interference in Canada’s democracy is more severe than ever. A recent report from the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) alleges that sitting federal politicians are “witting” participants in foreign interference schemes. Despite these bombshell allegations, the government has yet to reveal their identities, citing intelligence concerns. Saint-Jacques emphasizes the need for a tougher approach, suggesting that evidence-based punishment should be applied where possible. Additionally, the proposed Bill C-70 aims to address foreign interference, but its implementation timeline remains uncertain. As Canada grapples with these challenges, safeguarding democratic processes becomes paramount.


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