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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Canada’s Population Surpasses 41 Million in Q1 2024

 

In a significant milestone, Canada’s population exceeded 41 million people during the first quarter of 2024, according to Statistics Canada. The agency reported a growth rate of 0.6%, resulting in a total population of 41,012,563 as of April 1. Let’s delve into the details:

  1. Immigration Surge: The increase was fueled by the arrival of 121,758 immigrants in the first quarter. Canada continues to be an attractive destination for newcomers seeking better opportunities and quality of life.

  2. Net Emigration: Despite the positive trend, 12,613 people left the country during the same period. Factors such as job opportunities, economic conditions, and personal circumstances contribute to emigration.

  3. Non-Permanent Residents: Canada also welcomed 131,810 non-permanent residents, including students, temporary workers, and visitors. However, it’s worth noting that growth in this category occurred before the announcement of caps on permits for non-permanent residents in 2024.

The population surge reflects Canada’s diverse and dynamic society, shaped by immigration, economic factors, and social changes. As the nation continues to evolve, policymakers and communities must address the implications of this growth.


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