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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Federal Government Expands Early Retirement Eligibility for Front-Line Workers

 

The Canadian federal government is taking steps to broaden early retirement eligibility for specific front-line workers. Treasury Board President Anita Anand has announced plans to introduce legislation this fall to facilitate this change. Here are the key points:

  1. Eligibility Expansion: The proposed changes will allow certain front-line workers to retire after 25 years of service without a pension reduction. Currently, this provision is available to military members, RCMP officers, and some correctional workers. The expansion will include federally employed border service officers, parliamentary protection officers, search and rescue technicians, and firefighters. Additionally, correctional employees, firefighters, and paramedics employed by territorial governments will now be eligible for early retirement.

  2. Recognition of Demanding Roles: Treasury Board President Anita Anand emphasized that these changes aim to recognize the demanding nature of day-to-day duties for these occupational groups. These workers play a critical role in promoting and protecting the safety and security of Canadians.

  3. Positive Impact: The Public Service Alliance of Canada hailed this decision as a “significant victory,” benefiting thousands of front-line public-safety and law enforcement workers.

In summary, the federal government’s move to expand early retirement eligibility acknowledges the contributions and challenges faced by front-line safety and security workers, ensuring consistency across occupational groups.


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