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5 Things to Know Today: Hot U.S. Inflation, BoC Hike Odds, Loonie Slump (Oct. 15)

  Canadian Money Brief | Thursday, October 15, 2026 A hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation print rattled markets Wednesday, just as Canadians wait on their own CPI and a Bank of Canada decision. Here are the five things that matter to your wallet today. 1. Hot U.S. inflation knocks the TSX down 1.1% U.S. consumer prices rose 3.7% in September from a year earlier (up from 3.4% in August), with a 0.6% monthly jump, the biggest in five months; core inflation rose to 2.6% from 2.4%, per the Labor Department. Gasoline jumped 9.1% in the month. CME FedWatch odds of a Fed hike at the Oct. 27-28 meeting roughly doubled but sit near 50-50. The S&P/TSX Composite fell 399.52 points (-1.11%) to 35,584.46 Wednesday, ending a three-day win streak; basic materials sank 4.33%, and all six big banks finished lower. The Nasdaq lost 1.88%. What it means for you: Higher U.S. rates tend to pull Canadian bond yields up too, and that is what fixed mortgage rates follow. If you have a renewal coming,...
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Inflation Eases in May as Consumer Prices Rise at Slower Pace

 

A closely-watched report on U.S. inflation showed consumer prices cooled during the month of May, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Wednesday morning. Here are the key points:

  1. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Trends:

    • The CPI remained flat over the previous month.
    • Prices rose 3.3% over the prior year in May, which is a deceleration from April’s 0.3% month-over-month increase and 3.4% annual gain in prices.
    • Both measures beat economist expectations.

  2. Factors Contributing to the Slowdown:

    • A decline in energy prices, led by a drop in gas prices, contributed to further downward pressure on headline CPI.
    • On a “core” basis (excluding volatile food and gas costs), prices in May climbed 0.2% over the prior month and 3.4% over last year — cooler than April’s data.
    • Again, both core measures exceeded economist estimates.

  3. Federal Reserve Implications:

    • The inflation report arrives just ahead of the central bank’s policy decision at 2 p.m. ET.
    • Investors are closely watching this data point to shape future Federal Reserve interest rate policy.

In summary, while inflation remains a concern, the May data suggests a moderation in price increases. The Federal Reserve’s response will be crucial in navigating the economic landscape.


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