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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Israeli Tanks Advance in Rafah, Forcing Residents to Flee Again

 

In a distressing escalation of violence, Israeli tanks, backed by warplanes and drones, have penetrated deeper into the western part of the Gaza Strip city of Rafah. According to residents and Palestinian medics, eight people lost their lives in this latest incursion. The tanks moved into five neighborhoods after midnight, leaving a trail of destruction and panic among the population.

The Al-Mawasi area, further west of the coastal enclave, bore the brunt of heavy shelling and gunfire. Displaced Palestinians, who had already fled their homes due to previous Israeli strikes, sought refuge in tent camps. However, even these temporary shelters were not spared as bullets and shells rained down on them.

Despite international efforts to mediate a ceasefire, the conflict persists. Israel’s stated goal of wiping out Hamas and freeing Israeli hostages remains unmet, while Gaza continues to suffer. The Rafah crossing, the primary link for most of Gaza’s population with the outside world, lies in ruins, its buildings burnt, and Israeli tanks now positioned there.

As the situation remains dire, the world watches, hoping for an end to the violence and a path toward peace. But for now, the people of Rafah face another night of horror, caught in the crossfire of a seemingly unending conflict.

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