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New Diplomacy on the Horizon: U.S. and Russia Push Ahead Without Ukraine

  In a bold shift from previous diplomatic efforts, top U.S. and Russian officials have agreed to advance negotiations aimed at ending the war in Ukraine—even as Ukrainian representatives remain notably absent. High-level talks held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, saw U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov discussing the framework for future peace negotiations and steps toward restoring bilateral relations. The Trump administration’s approach, which prioritizes direct engagement with Moscow, marks a departure from longstanding principles that insisted on “nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine.” Critics in Kyiv have voiced strong opposition. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned that any agreement reached without Ukraine’s participation would be unacceptable and would undermine the nation’s sovereignty. European leaders echoed these concerns, with several officials labeling the move as a dangerous precedent that could lead to a “dirty deal...
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Navigating the U.S. Debt Tightrope: Balancing Growth and Sustainability

 

Even if the U.S. avoids worst-case scenarios, its ballooning debt and the cost of servicing it could eventually slow economic growth and make the burden unsustainable. According to a former International Monetary Fund (IMF) official, the U.S. must tread carefully to maintain a delicate balance.

Here are the key points:

  1. Debt Levels: Debt held by the public is already around 100% of GDP, and projections indicate it will climb to 116% in 2034, 139% in 2044, and 166% in 2054. While these levels may seem alarming, Japan’s experience shows that an advanced economy can manage substantial debt when borrowing in its own currency.

  2. Advantages and Risks: The U.S. benefits from dollar dominance, deep financial markets, and Federal Reserve support for Treasuries. However, institutional breakdowns remain a threat. For instance, concerns exist about U.S. debt default under certain scenarios.

  3. Interest Obligations: As the debt ratio rises, meeting interest obligations could force the federal government to cut discretionary spending. This reduction could negatively impact economic growth. The U.S. must balance interest payments and maturing Treasury bonds.

  4. Challenges Ahead: Rising bond yields and the outlook for higher interest rates pose challenges. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen acknowledges this difficulty in controlling deficits and debt expenses.

  5. Trade-Offs: To sustain debt, the U.S. faces trade-offs. Borrowing more to pay off debt could exacerbate the burden, while cutting spending on critical initiatives might hinder growth.

In summary, the U.S. walks a tightrope between debt sustainability and economic growth. Striking the right balance is crucial for a prosperous future.

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